Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/13 Game 1
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+60.2pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Daigo Hiroshi ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +40.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +32.7 | -9.3 | -11.0 | -12.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 51% | 16% | 16% | 16% | +0.6 | +2.8 | +3.4 | -6.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 2,100 | 51% | 19% | 18% | 13% | +7.8 | -4.3 | -2.7 | -0.8 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 59% | 14% | 15% | 12% | -21.3 | -7.3 | +37.7 | -9.0 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 2,000 | 36% | 13% | 43% | 8% | -2.7 | -4.2 | +6.9 | +0.1 |
| East 3 | Nakada Kana ron 2,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 32% | 9% | 50% | 9% | +0.6 | -5.4 | +0.3 | +4.5 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 31% | 7% | 52% | 10% | +5.5 | -2.7 | +1.2 | -4.0 |
| South 1 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 36% | 6% | 52% | 6% | -14.8 | +10.6 | +5.8 | -1.7 |
| South 2 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 5,800 from Nakada Kana | 21% | 9% | 64% | 6% | -1.1 | +15.2 | -1.0 | -13.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 20% | 15% | 62% | 4% | +1.9 | +40.7 | -41.8 | -0.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,200 from Nakada Kana | 25% | 55% | 17% | 4% | +17.0 | -3.3 | -3.9 | -9.8 |
| South 3 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,300 from Mizuhara Akina | 38% | 48% | 13% | 1% | -6.9 | +12.9 | -5.9 | -0.1 |
| South 4 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 1,100 | 23% | 72% | 4% | 1% | -6.3 | +15.0 | -4.6 | -4.1 |