Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/13 Game 1
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+60.2pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +42.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 25% | 24% | 27% | +32.7 | -9.5 | -8.9 | -14.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 50% | 17% | 17% | 16% | +3.2 | +1.1 | +2.8 | -7.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 2,100 | 53% | 17% | 18% | 12% | +7.0 | -3.2 | -2.5 | -1.3 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 12,000 | 58% | 15% | 16% | 11% | -21.0 | -6.8 | +35.4 | -7.7 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 2,000 | 37% | 13% | 41% | 9% | -1.7 | -5.3 | +8.2 | -1.2 |
| East 3 | Kana Nakada ron 2,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 35% | 8% | 49% | 9% | +1.8 | -4.1 | -0.8 | +3.1 |
| East 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 36% | 7% | 49% | 8% | +2.9 | -3.5 | +2.9 | -2.3 |
| South 1 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 3,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 37% | 6% | 52% | 6% | -15.0 | +10.4 | +6.6 | -2.1 |
| South 2 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 5,800 from Kana Nakada | 21% | 9% | 65% | 6% | -1.5 | +14.7 | -0.8 | -12.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada | 21% | 13% | 63% | 3% | +0.8 | +42.2 | -41.6 | -1.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 5,200 from Kana Nakada | 23% | 56% | 18% | 3% | +16.9 | -3.4 | -4.3 | -9.3 |
| South 3 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 1,300 from Akina Mizuhara | 37% | 49% | 13% | 2% | -6.1 | +13.0 | -6.7 | -0.2 |
| South 4 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 1,100 | 22% | 72% | 4% | 1% | -6.0 | +14.5 | -4.6 | -4.0 |