Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

1/13 Game 2

Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+111.3pt). The game was decided in East 4: Daisuke Suzuki ron 32,000 from Takaki Asai, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +54.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1South 3End● Daisuke Suzuki● Shingo Hori● Yu Suzuki● Takaki Asai0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Daisuke● Shingo● Yu● Takaki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultShingo Hori
1st-place chance
Daisuke Suzuki
1st-place chance
Yu Suzuki
1st-place chance
Takaki Asai
1st-place chance
Shingo Hori
Expected pt change
Daisuke Suzuki
Expected pt change
Yu Suzuki
Expected pt change
Takaki Asai
Expected pt change
East 1Takaki Asai ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori26%24%25%25%-22.0-0.7-0.3+23.0
East 2Yu Suzuki ron 5,200 from Takaki Asai13%23%22%43%-1.3-0.1+15.5-14.1
East 3Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,00012%22%35%31%-8.1+35.7-19.4-8.3
East 4Daisuke Suzuki ron 32,000 from Takaki Asai7%54%17%22%+7.6+54.5+2.7-64.8
South 1Exhaustive draw1%97%1%0%+3.6-1.6-1.3-0.6
South 1, 1 honbaDaisuke Suzuki tsumo 5,2001%97%2%0%-5.2+7.6-0.2-2.2
South 2Daisuke Suzuki ron 18,000 from Takaki Asai0%99%1%0%+1.9+19.20.0-21.1
South 2, 1 honbaExhaustive draw0%100%0%0%+5.4-2.2-2.8-0.4
South 3, 2 honbaExhaustive draw0%100%0%0%-2.1+1.2+2.6-1.8
South 3, 3 honbaExhaustive draw0%100%0%0%-2.4-0.9+3.9-0.5
South 3, 4 honbaTakaki Asai ron 2,000 from Shingo Hori0%100%0%0%-7.5+0.2+1.1+6.2
South 4Exhaustive draw0%100%0%0%-0.4-0.9-0.9+2.3
South 4, 1 honbaTakaki Asai tsumo 7,8000%100%0%0%-3.6-2.8-2.8+9.2
South 4, 2 honbaExhaustive draw0%100%0%0%-0.9+3.2+1.1-3.4

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)