Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/14 Game 1
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+66.6pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Nikaido Rumi, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +47.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -8.9 | -0.3 | +5.2 | +4.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 18% | 24% | 29% | 28% | -1.1 | +8.6 | -4.8 | -2.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 17% | 31% | 26% | 26% | +7.1 | -1.4 | -0.5 | -5.2 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Draw | 23% | 29% | 26% | 22% | +3.7 | -2.6 | -3.2 | +2.1 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 25% | 27% | 24% | 24% | +17.8 | -1.9 | -15.0 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 39% | 25% | 13% | 23% | -12.6 | -12.5 | -9.2 | +34.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 24% | 15% | 9% | 51% | +8.8 | -1.1 | -1.6 | -6.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 32% | 15% | 8% | 46% | -6.0 | -2.0 | -7.9 | +15.9 |
| South 2 | Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 21% | 11% | 4% | 64% | -4.7 | +31.0 | -20.1 | -6.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 17% | 29% | 2% | 52% | -2.2 | -6.6 | +1.0 | +7.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 15% | 21% | 1% | 62% | +47.4 | -13.1 | -15.8 | -18.6 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 1,500 from Nikaido Rumi | 71% | 8% | 0% | 21% | -3.0 | -1.1 | -1.5 | +5.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 64% | 6% | 0% | 30% | +20.9 | -7.4 | -0.5 | -13.1 |