Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/14 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+63.0pt). The game was decided in South 2, 3 honba: Suzuki Taro tsumo 16,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +56.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 26% | 24% | 27% | 24% | -5.4 | +6.2 | -3.0 | +2.2 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 20% | 29% | 24% | 26% | -19.4 | -2.9 | +19.8 | +2.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 12% | 25% | 37% | 26% | -3.9 | -2.1 | -2.2 | +8.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 9% | 24% | 35% | 33% | +10.4 | +0.8 | -9.7 | -1.5 |
| South 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 25% | 29% | 31% | +42.7 | -12.5 | -18.2 | -12.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 6,400 from Honda Tomohiro | 47% | 16% | 16% | 21% | -29.2 | +0.5 | +1.1 | +27.6 |
| South 2 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 3,000 | 18% | 18% | 18% | 47% | -3.6 | +7.9 | -3.3 | -1.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 21% | 16% | 46% | -13.2 | +42.3 | -11.1 | -18.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 7% | 62% | 8% | 23% | +1.4 | +1.6 | -1.2 | -1.9 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 16,000 | 7% | 64% | 8% | 21% | -9.2 | -34.5 | -12.9 | +56.7 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro | 1% | 7% | 2% | 90% | +3.0 | +1.7 | -6.5 | +1.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 4% | 0% | 96% | +1.4 | -0.3 | -1.1 | 0.0 |