Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/14 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+63.0pt). The game was decided in South 2, 3 honba: Taro Suzuki tsumo 16,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +57.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaya Matsugase ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -4.7 | +8.5 | -3.7 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 22% | 29% | 23% | 25% | -20.3 | -3.2 | +20.9 | +2.6 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 26% | 37% | 26% | -3.9 | -3.2 | -0.7 | +7.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 9% | 23% | 38% | 31% | +9.1 | +3.2 | -11.8 | -0.5 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 25% | 29% | 32% | +42.2 | -12.6 | -17.0 | -12.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 6,400 from Tomohiro Honda | 46% | 17% | 16% | 21% | -27.8 | -3.0 | +1.1 | +29.7 |
| South 2 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 3,000 | 18% | 15% | 17% | 50% | -2.9 | +11.5 | -4.4 | -4.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 23% | 15% | 45% | -11.9 | +40.9 | -12.7 | -16.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 63% | 7% | 23% | +2.3 | +1.8 | -0.4 | -3.7 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 16,000 | 8% | 64% | 8% | 20% | -10.5 | -34.4 | -12.4 | +57.3 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 8% | 2% | 89% | +1.8 | +1.4 | -5.0 | +1.7 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 4% | 0% | 96% | +1.6 | -0.4 | -1.8 | +0.6 |