Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/16 Game 1
Suzuki Daisuke finished 1st (+60.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Daisuke's expected points by +39.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -13.6 | +10.5 | +2.6 | +0.4 |
| East 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 17% | 33% | 25% | 26% | -5.6 | -1.6 | +3.6 | +3.6 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 14% | 30% | 28% | 28% | -20.9 | +0.9 | -2.2 | +22.2 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 5% | 28% | 23% | 44% | -14.9 | -2.7 | +23.1 | -5.5 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 2% | 22% | 41% | 35% | -6.2 | -1.0 | +5.2 | +2.0 |
| South 2 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 20% | 46% | 34% | -0.3 | +2.6 | -0.9 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 1,500 from Suzuki Daisuke | 0% | 22% | 45% | 33% | -0.5 | +5.6 | +1.4 | -6.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 26% | 46% | 28% | -2.1 | -16.9 | +25.6 | -6.6 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 4% | 82% | 14% | +4.3 | -0.7 | -0.4 | -3.2 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 2% | 87% | 11% | -4.2 | -12.5 | -22.9 | +39.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 1% | 40% | 59% | +4.0 | -1.7 | -17.8 | +15.5 |