Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/16 Game 1
Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+60.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +38.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 24% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -11.8 | +9.7 | -1.2 | +3.3 |
| East 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 16% | 32% | 24% | 27% | -4.5 | -1.5 | +5.8 | +0.2 |
| East 3 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 13% | 30% | 29% | 28% | -20.9 | +1.3 | -3.3 | +22.8 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 6% | 27% | 22% | 45% | -15.8 | -3.2 | +23.7 | -4.8 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 2% | 22% | 41% | 35% | -5.9 | -3.9 | +7.7 | +2.2 |
| South 2 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 17% | 48% | 35% | -0.7 | +6.5 | -2.5 | -3.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 1,500 from Daisuke Suzuki | 0% | 23% | 45% | 32% | -0.3 | +5.1 | -0.8 | -4.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 26% | 45% | 30% | -2.1 | -16.5 | +27.9 | -9.3 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 5% | 82% | 13% | +4.3 | -2.1 | -0.7 | -1.6 |
| South 4 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 2% | 87% | 11% | -3.8 | -12.0 | -23.0 | +38.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 1% | 41% | 58% | +3.7 | -1.6 | -18.0 | +16.0 |