Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/16 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+48.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +34.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -3.4 | -1.9 | -16.4 | +21.7 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 1,100 | 22% | 22% | 14% | 42% | -2.4 | -2.9 | +5.0 | +0.3 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 1,100 | 20% | 20% | 17% | 43% | -1.1 | +0.8 | -4.6 | +4.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 21% | 13% | 47% | +2.3 | -2.7 | +6.0 | -5.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 22% | 19% | 16% | 44% | -17.8 | +16.3 | -2.2 | +3.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 29% | 15% | 45% | +11.4 | -4.7 | -6.5 | -0.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,500 from Sho Shiratori | 16% | 25% | 13% | 47% | -0.2 | +2.1 | +6.5 | -8.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 18% | 27% | 17% | 38% | +23.3 | -2.7 | -22.5 | +1.8 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Sho Shiratori | 35% | 22% | 5% | 38% | +34.6 | -17.4 | -6.0 | -11.2 |