Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

1/16 Game 2

Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+48.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +34.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Uchikawa Kotaro● Suzuki Daisuke● Kobayashi Go● Shiratori Sho0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Uchikawa● Suzuki● Kobayashi● Shiratori
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultUchikawa Kotaro
1st-place chance
Suzuki Daisuke
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Uchikawa Kotaro
Expected pt change
Suzuki Daisuke
Expected pt change
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
East 1Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go27%24%24%25%-3.3+1.8-21.4+22.9
East 2Kobayashi Go tsumo 1,10022%24%13%42%-4.3-2.9+9.4-2.1
East 3Shiratori Sho tsumo 1,10020%20%17%43%+1.1-1.6-3.6+4.1
East 4Draw20%19%14%47%+1.5-2.1+4.9-4.3
South 1, 1 honbaSuzuki Daisuke ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro20%20%17%43%-17.1+16.8-1.3+1.6
South 2Draw10%30%16%44%+9.7-3.9-8.0+2.1
South 3, 1 honbaKobayashi Go ron 1,500 from Shiratori Sho15%24%13%48%+1.6+0.8+6.6-9.1
South 3, 2 honbaUchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go18%28%17%37%+22.9-1.6-23.0+1.6
South 4Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Shiratori Sho35%23%4%37%+34.4-18.4-5.5-10.5

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)