Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/17 Game 1
Takeuchi Genta finished 1st (+69.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Takeuchi Genta tsumo 12,000, which moved Takeuchi Genta's expected points by +44.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -2.7 | -19.9 | +21.5 | +1.1 |
| East 2 | Takeuchi Genta ron 2,600 from Kurosawa Saki | 20% | 14% | 42% | 24% | +1.6 | -8.5 | -1.9 | +8.7 |
| East 3 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 9% | 40% | 30% | -5.2 | -4.4 | -11.5 | +21.1 |
| East 4 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 4,000 | 17% | 7% | 27% | 49% | +10.9 | -4.9 | -2.1 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 1,500 from Takeuchi Genta | 25% | 5% | 25% | 45% | +5.3 | 0.0 | +0.2 | -5.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 29% | 5% | 26% | 40% | +2.4 | -3.0 | -2.2 | +2.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 30% | 4% | 24% | 42% | -1.6 | +3.3 | -5.2 | +3.4 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 28% | 5% | 21% | 47% | +12.5 | -10.0 | -2.9 | +0.4 |
| South 3 | Matsugase Takaya ron 5,200 from Asami Maki | 40% | 1% | 15% | 44% | +24.0 | -0.2 | -17.9 | -6.0 |
| South 4 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 12,000 | 76% | 0% | 1% | 23% | -32.8 | -5.2 | -6.0 | +44.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 3,000 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 95% | -3.9 | -0.9 | -0.9 | +5.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 99% | -0.4 | -2.2 | +4.4 | -1.8 |