Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/17 Game 1
Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+69.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +43.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 28% | 23% | 24% | 25% | -3.2 | -17.1 | +21.0 | -0.7 |
| East 2 | Genta Takeuchi ron 2,600 from Saki Kurosawa | 23% | 14% | 40% | 24% | 0.0 | -8.9 | +0.1 | +8.8 |
| East 3 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 9% | 39% | 30% | -5.3 | -5.9 | -10.6 | +21.9 |
| East 4 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 4,000 | 18% | 6% | 27% | 48% | +12.4 | -3.4 | -3.3 | -5.6 |
| South 1 | Takaya Matsugase ron 1,500 from Genta Takeuchi | 26% | 6% | 26% | 42% | +2.9 | 0.0 | +0.9 | -3.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 6% | 26% | 40% | +3.5 | -1.9 | -7.5 | +5.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 5% | 21% | 45% | -1.5 | +1.1 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 1,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 28% | 5% | 21% | 46% | +10.8 | -9.8 | -1.9 | +0.8 |
| South 3 | Takaya Matsugase ron 5,200 from Maki Asami | 38% | 1% | 17% | 44% | +25.1 | -0.2 | -19.1 | -5.8 |
| South 4 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000 | 76% | 0% | 1% | 23% | -32.8 | -5.6 | -5.4 | +43.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 3,000 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 95% | -3.9 | -0.6 | -1.3 | +5.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 99% | -0.1 | -2.1 | +4.3 | -2.1 |