Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/17 Game 2
Setokuma Naoki finished 1st (+55.4pt). The game was decided in East 2: Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Setokuma Naoki's expected points by +26.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 3,200 from Matsugase Takaya | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -3.9 | +0.1 | +10.9 | -7.0 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 22% | 24% | 33% | 21% | -0.1 | -26.7 | +26.9 | -0.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 19% | 8% | 55% | 18% | +1.7 | +4.2 | -1.9 | -4.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 5,200 | 20% | 10% | 54% | 16% | +20.5 | -4.1 | -5.2 | -11.1 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 35% | 9% | 47% | 10% | -8.0 | +12.1 | +2.0 | -6.1 |
| South 2 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 12% | 52% | 9% | -8.8 | -12.8 | +25.7 | -4.2 |
| South 3 | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 7% | 1% | 87% | 4% | +3.7 | -8.5 | -15.1 | +19.9 |
| South 4 | Matsugase Takaya ron 1,500 from Watanabe Futoshi | 14% | 1% | 73% | 11% | -3.8 | -0.3 | -0.2 | +4.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 11% | 1% | 74% | 14% | -5.6 | +2.2 | -3.1 | +6.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 13% | 3% | 69% | 15% | -12.7 | -9.2 | +16.3 | +5.6 |