Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/20 Game 1
Sugawara Hiroe finished 1st (+73.2pt). The game was decided in East 4: Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 18,000, which moved Sugawara Hiroe's expected points by +38.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Asai Takaki | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +10.0 | +1.8 | -12.4 | +0.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 12,000 | 32% | 24% | 19% | 25% | -21.8 | -8.5 | -6.5 | +36.9 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 17% | 13% | 56% | +24.4 | -15.3 | -3.8 | -5.3 |
| East 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Asai Takaki | 29% | 10% | 11% | 50% | +25.8 | +0.3 | -22.3 | -3.8 |
| East 4 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 18,000 | 51% | 7% | 3% | 39% | -22.5 | -9.1 | -7.3 | +38.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 2% | 1% | 83% | -3.8 | +17.7 | -6.6 | -7.3 |
| South 1 | Asai Takaki ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 15% | 5% | 1% | 79% | -8.7 | 0.0 | +3.7 | +5.0 |
| South 2 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 1,300 from Ooi Takaharu | 6% | 4% | 1% | 89% | +1.7 | -5.5 | -0.9 | +4.7 |
| South 3 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 3,200 from Asai Takaki | 3% | 0% | 1% | 96% | +1.1 | +1.2 | -7.8 | +5.5 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +4.1 | -0.3 | -1.2 | -2.6 |