Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/20 Game 1
Hiroe Sugawara finished 1st (+73.2pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 12,000, which moved Hiroe Sugawara's expected points by +38.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara ron 3,900 from Takaki Asai | 25% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +10.3 | +0.2 | -10.0 | -0.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 12,000 | 31% | 26% | 18% | 25% | -20.0 | -12.6 | -5.4 | +38.0 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 15% | 14% | 56% | +25.8 | -11.7 | -7.9 | -6.1 |
| East 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Takaki Asai | 32% | 9% | 10% | 49% | +21.2 | +1.7 | -20.3 | -2.6 |
| East 4 | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 18,000 | 50% | 7% | 3% | 40% | -20.5 | -10.0 | -7.5 | +38.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 2% | 1% | 82% | -5.3 | +16.5 | -5.2 | -6.0 |
| South 1 | Takaki Asai ron 2,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 14% | 5% | 1% | 81% | -7.4 | +1.4 | +3.6 | +2.4 |
| South 2 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 1,300 from Takaharu Ooi | 6% | 6% | 1% | 87% | +1.9 | -6.7 | -0.6 | +5.5 |
| South 3 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 3,200 from Takaki Asai | 3% | 0% | 1% | 96% | +1.0 | +1.1 | -8.6 | +6.5 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +3.9 | +0.2 | -1.1 | -3.0 |