Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/20 Game 2
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+73.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +40.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 26% | 23% | 27% | -7.4 | +11.4 | -1.7 | -2.3 |
| East 2 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 12,000 from Yu Suzuki | 20% | 33% | 21% | 26% | -5.1 | +32.5 | -26.4 | -1.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 63% | 8% | 18% | -7.0 | +24.8 | -7.9 | -9.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 85% | 3% | 8% | -0.1 | +2.1 | +2.3 | -4.3 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 5,200 | 4% | 86% | 4% | 6% | -2.5 | -6.2 | -6.5 | +15.2 |
| East 3 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 82% | 3% | 11% | +16.6 | -2.4 | -11.2 | -3.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 81% | 1% | 10% | +0.3 | +6.6 | -0.3 | -6.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Yu Suzuki | 6% | 90% | 1% | 4% | +22.8 | -4.1 | -16.2 | -2.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 3,900 | 14% | 80% | 0% | 5% | +13.4 | -7.2 | -2.7 | -3.5 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 1,500 | 27% | 70% | 0% | 3% | +8.3 | -4.2 | -0.4 | -3.7 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 37% | 60% | 0% | 3% | +3.4 | -4.5 | -1.8 | +3.0 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 42% | 54% | 0% | 4% | +7.8 | -20.4 | +10.8 | +1.8 |
| South 2 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 7,700 from Yu Suzuki | 64% | 30% | 0% | 5% | -9.6 | +20.8 | -8.7 | -2.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 41% | 56% | 0% | 3% | +0.2 | -9.4 | -3.5 | +12.7 |
| South 3 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 1,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 46% | 47% | 0% | 7% | -5.8 | +8.6 | -0.9 | -1.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 33% | 62% | 0% | 5% | -1.5 | +2.7 | -2.9 | +1.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 30% | 64% | 0% | 6% | +40.3 | -25.3 | +0.4 | -15.4 |