Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

1/20 Game 2

Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+73.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +40.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 1End● Daigo Hiroshi● Suzuki Daisuke● Suzuki Yu● Shiratori Sho0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Daigo● Suzuki● Suzuki● Shiratori
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultDaigo Hiroshi
1st-place chance
Suzuki Daisuke
1st-place chance
Suzuki Yu
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Daigo Hiroshi
Expected pt change
Suzuki Daisuke
Expected pt change
Suzuki Yu
Expected pt change
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
East 1Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 5,20026%23%24%27%-10.4+17.9-3.0-4.5
East 2Suzuki Daisuke ron 12,000 from Suzuki Yu19%36%23%23%-2.5+30.6-27.3-0.7
East 2, 1 honbaSuzuki Daisuke tsumo 12,00012%63%7%18%-9.3+24.9-8.2-7.4
East 2, 2 honbaDraw4%86%3%7%+2.7+1.4+2.0-6.1
East 2, 3 honbaShiratori Sho tsumo 5,2005%85%3%7%-3.4-7.0-7.3+17.7
East 3Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,0005%81%2%12%+17.6-2.0-8.9-6.7
East 4Draw10%80%1%9%-2.5+7.3-0.8-3.9
South 1, 1 honbaDaigo Hiroshi ron 12,000 from Suzuki Yu5%89%1%5%+25.8-4.1-17.5-4.1
South 1, 2 honbaDaigo Hiroshi tsumo 3,90016%80%0%4%+9.2-5.6-1.1-2.5
South 1, 3 honbaDaigo Hiroshi tsumo 1,50025%71%0%4%+9.3-5.3-0.5-3.5
South 1, 4 honbaDraw36%61%0%3%+3.5-3.9-1.8+2.2
South 1, 5 honbaSuzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke41%55%0%4%+8.6-20.6+11.3+0.7
South 2Suzuki Daisuke ron 7,700 from Suzuki Yu64%31%1%5%-9.8+20.2-10.40.0
South 2, 1 honbaShiratori Sho tsumo 8,00040%56%0%4%-0.6-10.2-2.5+13.3
South 3Suzuki Daisuke ron 1,000 from Daigo Hiroshi44%47%0%9%-4.5+8.9-1.2-3.2
South 4Draw33%62%0%6%-1.5+2.1-2.5+2.0
South 4, 1 honbaDaigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho30%62%0%7%+40.3-24.6+0.1-15.8

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)