Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/21 Game 1
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+64.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +33.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -5.6 | -0.2 | +1.2 | +4.6 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 21% | 24% | 26% | 29% | +0.3 | -3.1 | -30.7 | +33.5 |
| East 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 1,500 from Sonoda Ken | 18% | 17% | 8% | 57% | +0.6 | -0.1 | +1.4 | -1.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 17% | 9% | 56% | -11.1 | -14.0 | +37.1 | -11.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 11% | 29% | 45% | +35.3 | -6.1 | -19.7 | -9.4 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 3,900 | 39% | 11% | 16% | 34% | -3.3 | -3.7 | -3.6 | +10.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 34% | 8% | 13% | 44% | -4.9 | -22.2 | -1.1 | +28.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 21% | 2% | 7% | 71% | +1.6 | -2.0 | -3.1 | +3.6 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Draw | 20% | 1% | 5% | 74% | -5.5 | +1.3 | +2.7 | +1.5 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 1% | 6% | 77% | +24.5 | -6.9 | -4.9 | -12.7 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,600 from Date Arisa | 37% | 1% | 4% | 58% | -8.1 | +4.1 | 0.0 | +4.1 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Date Arisa | 27% | 1% | 5% | 68% | -11.1 | -3.7 | +1.5 | +13.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 9% | 0% | 3% | 88% | -1.0 | -1.5 | +3.0 | -0.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 9% | 0% | 4% | 87% | -15.6 | +13.6 | -2.5 | +4.5 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 3,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -1.5 | -1.2 | -0.5 | +3.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -16.7 | +49.1 | -25.0 | -7.4 |