Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

1/21 Game 1

Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+64.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +33.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Sonoda Ken● Date Arisa● Hagiwara Masato● Shibukawa Namba0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Sonoda● Date● Hagiwara● Shibukawa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultDate Arisa
1st-place chance
Hagiwara Masato
1st-place chance
Shibukawa Namba
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Date Arisa
Expected pt change
Hagiwara Masato
Expected pt change
Shibukawa Namba
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
East 1Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,00025%24%25%27%-5.6-0.2+1.2+4.6
East 2Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba21%24%26%29%+0.3-3.1-30.7+33.5
East 3Shibukawa Namba ron 1,500 from Sonoda Ken18%17%8%57%+0.6-0.1+1.4-1.8
East 3, 1 honbaShibukawa Namba tsumo 12,00018%17%9%56%-11.1-14.0+37.1-11.9
East 3, 2 honbaDate Arisa tsumo 12,00014%11%29%45%+35.3-6.1-19.7-9.4
East 4Sonoda Ken tsumo 3,90039%11%16%34%-3.3-3.7-3.6+10.6
East 4, 1 honbaSonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato34%8%13%44%-4.9-22.2-1.1+28.2
East 4, 2 honbaDraw21%2%7%71%+1.6-2.0-3.1+3.6
East 4, 3 honbaDraw20%1%5%74%-5.5+1.3+2.7+1.5
East 4, 4 honbaDate Arisa tsumo 8,00016%1%6%77%+24.5-6.9-4.9-12.7
South 1Hagiwara Masato ron 1,600 from Date Arisa37%1%4%58%-8.1+4.10.0+4.1
South 2Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Date Arisa27%1%5%68%-11.1-3.7+1.5+13.3
South 3Draw9%0%3%88%-1.0-1.5+3.0-0.5
South 3, 1 honbaHagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Date Arisa9%0%4%87%-15.6+13.6-2.5+4.5
South 4Sonoda Ken tsumo 3,0000%0%0%100%-1.5-1.2-0.5+3.2
South 4, 1 honbaHagiwara Masato tsumo 12,0000%0%0%100%-16.7+49.1-25.0-7.4

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)