Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/21 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+53.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +24.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 23% | 27% | 25% | -7.6 | +15.9 | -4.4 | -3.9 |
| East 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,200 from Taro Suzuki | 19% | 36% | 22% | 23% | +16.6 | -17.5 | +2.8 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 22% | 25% | 22% | -6.4 | +3.4 | +3.5 | -0.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 24% | 28% | 22% | -10.5 | -11.2 | +33.7 | -12.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 14% | 57% | 12% | -0.4 | +0.1 | +1.2 | -0.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 14% | 57% | 13% | -6.3 | +23.6 | -4.3 | -13.0 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 12% | 27% | 53% | 7% | -4.7 | +24.3 | -3.2 | -16.3 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 4% | 52% | 42% | 2% | +2.1 | -1.9 | +1.6 | -1.8 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 2,700 | 5% | 51% | 42% | 2% | -2.5 | +1.3 | -3.0 | +4.1 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 56% | 39% | 2% | +7.9 | +17.3 | -15.7 | -9.5 |