Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/21 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+53.4pt). The game was decided in East 4, 3 honba: Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +24.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -9.5 | +13.0 | -0.5 | -3.0 |
| East 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,200 from Suzuki Taro | 20% | 34% | 24% | 23% | +16.6 | -15.4 | -2.2 | +1.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 30% | 23% | 23% | 24% | -2.7 | +2.5 | +5.0 | -4.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 29% | 25% | 25% | 22% | -12.3 | -11.8 | +34.5 | -10.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 18% | 14% | 56% | 13% | -1.6 | +0.5 | +1.8 | -0.8 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 14% | 59% | 13% | -6.0 | +24.2 | -3.7 | -14.5 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 13% | 28% | 53% | 6% | -4.3 | +23.9 | -3.7 | -16.0 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro | 4% | 51% | 42% | 2% | +1.3 | -3.2 | +2.8 | -1.0 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 2,700 | 4% | 49% | 45% | 2% | -2.9 | +3.3 | -5.5 | +5.1 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 58% | 37% | 3% | +8.5 | +16.7 | -14.8 | -10.4 |