Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

1/23 Game 1

Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+61.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +31.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Go Kobayashi● Maki Asami● Daisuke Suzuki● Genta Takeuchi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Go● Maki● Daisuke● Genta
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultGo Kobayashi
1st-place chance
Maki Asami
1st-place chance
Daisuke Suzuki
1st-place chance
Genta Takeuchi
1st-place chance
Go Kobayashi
Expected pt change
Maki Asami
Expected pt change
Daisuke Suzuki
Expected pt change
Genta Takeuchi
Expected pt change
East 1Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,00026%24%26%24%+31.8-12.4-12.6-6.8
East 1, 1 honbaDaisuke Suzuki ron 3,900 from Maki Asami50%16%17%18%-0.1-9.7+11.2-1.5
East 2Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Daisuke Suzuki50%12%21%17%+21.1-3.2-17.2-0.8
East 3Maki Asami tsumo 8,00072%6%10%12%-2.7+19.9-13.2-4.0
East 4Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Daisuke Suzuki71%14%4%11%+4.9+0.2-2.5-2.6
South 1Daisuke Suzuki ron 5,200 from Maki Asami78%11%4%7%+1.2-13.1+12.3-0.4
South 2Genta Takeuchi ron 1,000 from Daisuke Suzuki83%5%6%6%+4.0-3.3-5.6+5.0
South 3Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,00090%1%4%5%-8.7-14.1+36.8-13.9
South 3, 1 honbaGo Kobayashi tsumo 2,00079%1%15%5%+9.1-1.3-6.3-1.6
South 4Genta Takeuchi ron 1,500 from Daisuke Suzuki94%0%2%4%0.0-2.7-1.8+4.4
South 4, 1 honbaDaisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,00095%0%2%4%+0.3-8.3+12.4-4.4

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)