Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/23 Game 2
Nakabayashi Kei finished 1st (+60.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Nakabayashi Kei ron 8,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi, which moved Nakabayashi Kei's expected points by +22.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 8,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -23.0 | +1.2 | -0.6 | +22.4 |
| East 2 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 2,600 from Watanabe Futoshi | 11% | 25% | 24% | 41% | +10.0 | -1.5 | -9.0 | +0.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 16% | 22% | 19% | 44% | -1.8 | -3.2 | -5.3 | +10.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 14% | 18% | 14% | 54% | -1.5 | -5.9 | -0.2 | +7.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,600 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 11% | 15% | 12% | 62% | -9.5 | -1.8 | +10.9 | +0.3 |
| South 1 | Draw | 8% | 12% | 17% | 64% | +4.4 | +6.1 | -5.7 | -4.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 10% | 17% | 14% | 59% | +1.4 | -2.4 | +4.2 | -3.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,600 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 12% | 16% | 18% | 55% | -14.6 | -7.0 | +19.9 | +1.7 |
| South 2 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 3% | 12% | 29% | 56% | -2.0 | -7.3 | -6.1 | +15.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 2% | 3% | 17% | 79% | -3.6 | +3.0 | +5.4 | -4.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 1% | 4% | 23% | 72% | -2.4 | -1.0 | -10.5 | +13.9 |
| South 4 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 0% | 1% | 3% | 96% | -6.6 | +0.8 | +5.6 | +0.2 |