Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/23 Game 2
Kei Nakabayashi finished 1st (+60.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kei Nakabayashi ron 8,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa, which moved Kei Nakabayashi's expected points by +20.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 8,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 25% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -21.9 | 0.0 | +1.2 | +20.7 |
| East 2 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 2,600 from Futoshi Watanabe | 12% | 24% | 23% | 41% | +9.3 | -1.3 | -9.2 | +1.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 22% | 17% | 45% | -2.0 | -3.2 | -5.6 | +10.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 2,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 14% | 18% | 13% | 55% | +0.1 | -7.4 | -0.6 | +7.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,600 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 13% | 12% | 12% | 63% | -11.0 | +1.5 | +10.6 | -1.1 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 12% | 15% | 64% | +1.6 | +5.6 | -3.8 | -3.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 17% | 15% | 59% | +5.9 | -3.2 | +2.0 | -4.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,600 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 13% | 16% | 17% | 54% | -17.2 | -8.4 | +21.7 | +3.9 |
| South 2 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 2,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 3% | 10% | 28% | 59% | -2.5 | -4.3 | -6.1 | +12.9 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 3% | 17% | 78% | -1.9 | +2.1 | +4.5 | -4.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 2,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 1% | 5% | 23% | 71% | -3.4 | -1.3 | -9.3 | +14.1 |
| South 4 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 0% | 0% | 4% | 96% | -6.1 | +0.7 | +5.1 | +0.3 |