Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/24 Game 1
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+80.3pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +30.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -13.5 | -6.0 | +24.5 | -5.1 |
| East 2 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 6,000 | 15% | 20% | 43% | 22% | -5.3 | +15.6 | -5.7 | -4.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 3,000 | 12% | 30% | 38% | 19% | -1.9 | +7.4 | -2.8 | -2.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Hinata Aiko | 11% | 35% | 36% | 18% | +12.0 | -15.9 | +2.4 | +1.5 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,800 from Hinata Aiko | 17% | 24% | 39% | 20% | +0.6 | -15.9 | +17.3 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 14% | 53% | 16% | -5.4 | +23.1 | -12.3 | -5.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 14% | 29% | 43% | 15% | -0.5 | -3.0 | -2.1 | +5.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 15% | 26% | 41% | 18% | +26.5 | +0.8 | -22.9 | -4.4 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 33% | 28% | 23% | 16% | -3.0 | +27.0 | -2.9 | -21.1 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 54% | 17% | 5% | -13.2 | +30.3 | -12.1 | -4.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Hori Shingo | 4% | 89% | 5% | 2% | -0.1 | -0.1 | +8.8 | -8.6 |
| South 3 | Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 2% | 91% | 6% | 1% | +1.9 | +16.4 | -3.1 | -15.2 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo ron 2,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -8.2 | +0.2 | +5.4 | +2.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -8.6 | +0.2 | +10.1 | -1.7 |