Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/24 Game 1
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+80.3pt). The game was decided in South 2: Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +32.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -15.5 | -3.4 | +23.0 | -4.1 |
| East 2 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 6,000 | 14% | 22% | 43% | 21% | -2.3 | +12.4 | -5.9 | -4.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 3,000 | 14% | 30% | 37% | 19% | -5.1 | +9.6 | -2.7 | -1.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Aiko Hinata | 12% | 37% | 34% | 18% | +13.9 | -15.2 | +1.5 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,800 from Aiko Hinata | 18% | 26% | 37% | 19% | +1.3 | -20.1 | +19.6 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 12% | 55% | 16% | -8.0 | +25.6 | -11.1 | -6.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 29% | 44% | 14% | -0.2 | -4.2 | -3.2 | +7.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 14% | 26% | 42% | 18% | +25.8 | +2.8 | -23.5 | -5.0 |
| South 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 33% | 30% | 23% | 15% | -2.8 | +24.7 | -0.5 | -21.5 |
| South 2 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 52% | 18% | 5% | -12.5 | +32.1 | -12.4 | -7.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Shingo Hori | 4% | 90% | 5% | 1% | +0.9 | -0.9 | +7.1 | -7.1 |
| South 3 | Aiko Hinata ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 3% | 91% | 6% | 1% | +1.6 | +16.5 | -3.5 | -14.5 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori ron 2,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -8.2 | +0.2 | +5.2 | +2.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -8.5 | +0.2 | +10.5 | -2.2 |