Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/24 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+63.2pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Sasaki Hisato ron 18,000 from Matsugase Takaya, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +44.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 7,800 | 23% | 25% | 27% | 25% | +26.2 | -8.3 | -10.4 | -7.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 4,000 | 42% | 19% | 19% | 20% | -6.9 | +11.4 | -2.7 | -1.7 |
| East 2 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 36% | 26% | 18% | 20% | +7.9 | -1.9 | -1.4 | -4.6 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 6,000 | 44% | 23% | 16% | 17% | -7.5 | -4.9 | +17.3 | -4.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 18,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 38% | 21% | 26% | 15% | -2.3 | -41.7 | +44.6 | -0.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 2,700 | 25% | 3% | 63% | 9% | +11.3 | -3.6 | -5.9 | -1.9 |
| East 4 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 5,200 | 35% | 2% | 56% | 7% | -4.3 | +12.3 | +3.4 | -11.5 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 29% | 4% | 64% | 3% | -8.7 | -2.3 | +8.1 | +2.9 |
| South 2 | Matsugase Takaya ron 3,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 17% | 3% | 76% | 4% | -9.7 | +8.4 | +2.0 | -0.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 3,200 | 11% | 4% | 81% | 4% | -0.6 | -9.9 | -0.4 | +10.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 9% | 1% | 84% | 6% | -1.0 | -4.9 | -0.6 | +6.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 5% | 0% | 88% | 8% | +4.0 | -5.2 | +8.2 | -7.0 |