Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

1/27 Game 1

Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+60.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +31.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Daisuke Suzuki● Takaki Asai● Taro Suzuki● Hisato Sasaki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Daisuke● Takaki● Taro● Hisato
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakaki Asai
1st-place chance
Taro Suzuki
1st-place chance
Daisuke Suzuki
1st-place chance
Hisato Sasaki
1st-place chance
Takaki Asai
Expected pt change
Taro Suzuki
Expected pt change
Daisuke Suzuki
Expected pt change
Hisato Sasaki
Expected pt change
East 1Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki23%25%26%26%-1.0+22.5+2.0-23.5
East 2Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,00022%40%25%13%-12.1+30.5-10.6-7.8
East 2, 1 honbaTakaki Asai tsumo 2,00010%69%14%8%+5.7-1.1-4.1-0.5
East 3Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 7,80011%70%12%7%-6.4-8.1+21.8-7.3
East 3, 1 honbaDaisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,00011%60%23%7%-10.0-13.5+31.4-7.8
East 3, 2 honbaExhaustive draw6%39%52%4%-2.4-2.5+3.5+1.4
East 3, 3 honbaHisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Takaki Asai5%36%56%4%-20.6-1.4-1.3+23.3
East 4Takaki Asai ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki2%34%56%8%+18.9+1.0+2.4-22.3
South 1Exhaustive draw4%34%59%3%+0.9-7.7+6.2+0.6
South 1, 1 honbaHisato Sasaki ron 1,000 from Daisuke Suzuki4%25%69%2%-5.0+1.7-1.9+5.3
South 2Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki1%26%69%3%+0.2-8.3+9.8-1.6
South 3Takaki Asai tsumo 1,1000%11%87%2%+5.5-1.4+1.8-5.9
South 4Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,0000%5%93%1%-17.8-7.2-5.9+30.9
South 4, 1 honbaExhaustive draw0%4%89%7%+2.2+3.6-6.5+0.8
South 4, 2 honbaDaisuke Suzuki tsumo 1,5000%11%80%9%-4.7+0.3+11.8-7.4

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)