Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/27 Game 2
Date Arisa finished 1st (+58.7pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Date Arisa tsumo 7,800, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +29.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 3,000 | 23% | 25% | 25% | 27% | +14.5 | -3.6 | -7.4 | -3.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 3,900 from Date Arisa | 34% | 23% | 20% | 23% | -2.4 | -11.2 | +2.9 | +10.6 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Suzuki Daisuke | 32% | 16% | 20% | 32% | -16.8 | -1.1 | +0.5 | +17.5 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 18% | 14% | 21% | 47% | +0.2 | 0.0 | -13.2 | +13.0 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 16% | 12% | 11% | 61% | -1.1 | +0.4 | +17.8 | -17.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 18% | 15% | 23% | 43% | -2.9 | +2.1 | -2.4 | +3.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Date Arisa ron 1,500 from Sonoda Ken | 15% | 15% | 21% | 49% | -2.3 | +10.6 | -8.0 | -0.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 7,800 | 13% | 22% | 17% | 49% | -10.6 | +29.3 | -6.6 | -12.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Date Arisa ron 1,500 from Sonoda Ken | 7% | 47% | 13% | 32% | +1.2 | +8.7 | -7.3 | -2.5 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Suzuki Daisuke | 6% | 56% | 9% | 28% | -16.4 | -3.0 | -0.5 | +19.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 48% | 6% | 45% | +3.9 | -2.3 | +0.9 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 47% | 7% | 43% | -4.3 | +20.0 | -8.1 | -7.6 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 78% | 0% | 21% | -6.9 | +8.8 | +8.9 | -10.8 |