Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/27 Game 2
Arisa Date finished 1st (+58.7pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Arisa Date tsumo 7,800, which moved Arisa Date's expected points by +29.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 3,000 | 27% | 26% | 23% | 25% | +10.2 | -4.0 | -2.8 | -3.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 3,900 from Arisa Date | 33% | 22% | 23% | 23% | -1.3 | -11.2 | -2.0 | +14.5 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,200 from Daisuke Suzuki | 30% | 17% | 19% | 34% | -15.4 | -0.8 | +0.7 | +15.5 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 19% | 14% | 21% | 46% | -2.3 | +0.7 | -12.8 | +14.4 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Sayaka Kayamori | 14% | 12% | 12% | 62% | +0.6 | -3.8 | +19.7 | -16.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 12% | 24% | 46% | -4.9 | +7.5 | -3.0 | +0.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Arisa Date ron 1,500 from Ken Sonoda | 15% | 16% | 22% | 48% | -0.6 | +8.9 | -6.7 | -1.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 7,800 | 14% | 22% | 19% | 46% | -10.2 | +29.8 | -9.3 | -10.3 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Arisa Date ron 1,500 from Ken Sonoda | 7% | 48% | 13% | 33% | +0.2 | +7.0 | -6.6 | -0.5 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,200 from Daisuke Suzuki | 7% | 56% | 9% | 28% | -15.8 | -3.2 | -0.8 | +19.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 47% | 6% | 46% | +3.3 | -2.8 | +2.4 | -3.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 45% | 8% | 44% | -4.2 | +22.4 | -8.7 | -9.5 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 81% | 0% | 19% | -6.8 | +7.8 | +8.3 | -9.4 |