Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/28 Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+58.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +25.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -4.6 | +1.3 | +25.8 | -22.5 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 2,700 | 20% | 24% | 44% | 12% | -3.8 | -5.4 | +10.5 | -1.3 |
| East 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,600 from Honda Tomohiro | 16% | 18% | 54% | 11% | +6.8 | -7.9 | +2.8 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 13% | 58% | 10% | -13.5 | -11.3 | -9.7 | +34.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 8% | 49% | 29% | -5.0 | -2.3 | +13.0 | -5.7 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 1,500 | 9% | 7% | 62% | 21% | -4.6 | -1.9 | +8.1 | -1.7 |
| South 2 | Draw | 4% | 6% | 75% | 16% | -2.2 | +6.9 | -1.6 | -3.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 1,100 | 4% | 8% | 73% | 15% | +5.6 | -8.6 | +2.4 | +0.5 |
| South 3 | Draw | 4% | 2% | 80% | 14% | -6.5 | +5.4 | +1.9 | -0.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 1% | 87% | 11% | +6.0 | -10.7 | +0.1 | +4.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 1% | 1% | 85% | 13% | +2.3 | -6.6 | +5.9 | -1.6 |