Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/28 Game 1
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+58.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +27.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -5.5 | -0.8 | +27.9 | -21.5 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 2,700 | 20% | 23% | 45% | 12% | -3.7 | -5.9 | +11.5 | -1.9 |
| East 3 | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,600 from Tomohiro Honda | 15% | 16% | 58% | 12% | +5.5 | -5.0 | +0.7 | -1.2 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 14% | 59% | 9% | -11.8 | -13.1 | -11.8 | +36.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 8% | 47% | 31% | -4.9 | -0.7 | +14.7 | -9.1 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 1,500 | 10% | 8% | 64% | 19% | -4.4 | -3.2 | +7.1 | +0.4 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 6% | 73% | 17% | -2.5 | +7.6 | -3.1 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 1,100 | 4% | 8% | 70% | 18% | +5.7 | -9.8 | +4.7 | -0.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 2% | 80% | 14% | -7.3 | +5.8 | +1.2 | +0.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 1% | 86% | 12% | +6.2 | -11.2 | +0.9 | +4.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 0% | 85% | 14% | +2.6 | -6.0 | +5.9 | -2.6 |