Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/28 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+68.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +41.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Okada ron 1,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -4.2 | +6.8 | -5.4 | +2.9 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Sayaka Okada | 23% | 27% | 24% | 27% | +10.5 | -9.0 | -2.1 | +0.6 |
| East 3 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 2,000 | 30% | 22% | 20% | 28% | +1.2 | -4.5 | -3.4 | +6.6 |
| East 4 | Aki Nikaido ron 2,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 30% | 18% | 18% | 33% | -2.2 | +1.2 | -9.0 | +9.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 1,100 | 28% | 19% | 13% | 40% | +7.5 | -1.9 | -3.0 | -2.6 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 33% | 17% | 12% | 38% | +32.5 | -9.5 | -8.1 | -14.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 2,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 68% | 9% | 6% | 18% | +7.0 | -0.8 | -6.7 | +0.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,000 from Sayaka Okada | 75% | 6% | 4% | 15% | +1.1 | -6.1 | +5.2 | -0.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 79% | 5% | 4% | 13% | +2.1 | -7.0 | +4.9 | -0.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Sayaka Okada | 85% | 1% | 5% | 10% | +1.2 | -12.8 | -3.0 | +14.6 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 86% | 0% | 0% | 14% | -30.4 | -3.8 | -4.5 | +38.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 0% | 0% | 79% | +41.2 | -5.9 | +1.6 | -36.9 |