Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/28 Game 2
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+68.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +40.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 24% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -3.4 | +6.6 | -3.8 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Okada Sayaka | 23% | 29% | 23% | 25% | +10.2 | -12.3 | -0.2 | +2.3 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 2,000 | 30% | 20% | 22% | 27% | +1.2 | -3.7 | -5.7 | +8.2 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 31% | 18% | 18% | 34% | +0.2 | -0.2 | -9.0 | +8.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 1,100 | 30% | 17% | 13% | 40% | +2.9 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -2.3 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 32% | 17% | 13% | 38% | +36.4 | -10.4 | -9.9 | -16.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 2,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 71% | 8% | 6% | 15% | +5.5 | +0.6 | -7.4 | +1.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,000 from Okada Sayaka | 75% | 7% | 4% | 15% | +1.2 | -7.2 | +4.6 | +1.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 80% | 4% | 4% | 13% | +1.7 | -6.9 | +5.8 | -0.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Okada Sayaka | 84% | 1% | 5% | 11% | +1.8 | -12.6 | -3.2 | +13.9 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 87% | 0% | 0% | 13% | -29.6 | -3.8 | -4.5 | +38.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 0% | 0% | 78% | +40.3 | -5.8 | +1.6 | -36.1 |