Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/30 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+74.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +38.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -3.8 | -15.3 | +18.9 | +0.1 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 15% | 39% | 24% | +3.5 | +1.6 | -9.3 | +4.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 17% | 32% | 28% | -3.6 | +4.6 | +2.4 | -3.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 3,900 from Hiroe Sugawara | 22% | 19% | 33% | 26% | +19.4 | -5.6 | -3.2 | -10.7 |
| East 3 | Aki Nikaido ron 12,000 from Hiroe Sugawara | 36% | 14% | 31% | 19% | -2.8 | +35.2 | -0.8 | -31.6 |
| East 4 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 36% | 27% | 6% | +26.6 | -5.6 | -10.3 | -10.7 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,300 from Hiroe Sugawara | 58% | 25% | 16% | 2% | +1.7 | -1.8 | +1.8 | -1.6 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 4,000 | 62% | 22% | 14% | 1% | -1.8 | -13.5 | +17.6 | -2.3 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Hiroe Sugawara | 61% | 12% | 25% | 2% | -16.1 | -5.5 | +35.0 | -13.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 7,700 from Hiroe Sugawara | 25% | 5% | 70% | 0% | -6.0 | -1.0 | +15.4 | -8.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 2% | 87% | 0% | +41.7 | -6.9 | -31.6 | -3.2 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 74% | 0% | 26% | 0% | -29.4 | -7.7 | +38.4 | -1.4 |