Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/30 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+74.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +38.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 27% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -2.9 | -13.6 | +15.5 | +1.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 22% | 17% | 36% | 25% | +3.3 | +0.4 | -7.7 | +3.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 24% | 18% | 30% | 28% | -3.2 | +3.2 | +4.4 | -4.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Sugawara Hiroe | 22% | 19% | 33% | 25% | +19.6 | -4.5 | -0.2 | -15.0 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 12,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 38% | 14% | 33% | 15% | -3.1 | +36.5 | -4.4 | -29.1 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 39% | 25% | 5% | +26.9 | -9.6 | -9.3 | -8.0 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,300 from Sugawara Hiroe | 59% | 23% | 15% | 2% | -0.5 | +1.3 | +2.7 | -3.5 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 4,000 | 60% | 23% | 15% | 2% | -0.5 | -15.5 | +16.6 | -0.6 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 62% | 10% | 26% | 2% | -16.4 | -4.9 | +35.2 | -14.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 7,700 from Sugawara Hiroe | 25% | 5% | 70% | 0% | -7.1 | -1.9 | +17.3 | -8.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 1% | 91% | 0% | +44.1 | -6.3 | -34.0 | -3.8 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 75% | 0% | 25% | 0% | -30.1 | -7.7 | +38.9 | -1.1 |