Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/30 Game 2
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+88.8pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +31.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 28% | 24% | 23% | 25% | -11.2 | +11.9 | -1.1 | +0.4 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Kana Nakada | 19% | 32% | 24% | 26% | +1.9 | -0.9 | -13.9 | +12.9 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,000 from Yu Suzuki | 20% | 30% | 15% | 35% | +0.3 | -1.4 | -0.2 | +1.3 |
| East 4 | Kana Nakada ron 6,400 from Yu Suzuki | 20% | 30% | 14% | 35% | +0.1 | -20.5 | +18.1 | +2.3 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 16% | 26% | 37% | +4.4 | +0.8 | -9.2 | +4.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 16% | 19% | 41% | +42.8 | -13.6 | -11.6 | -17.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 64% | 8% | 9% | 20% | -10.9 | +22.8 | -8.1 | -3.9 |
| South 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 5,800 from Kana Nakada | 53% | 19% | 8% | 20% | -3.9 | +21.4 | -13.8 | -3.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 2,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 45% | 34% | 5% | 17% | -2.2 | +10.5 | -0.6 | -7.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 40% | 45% | 4% | 11% | -17.4 | +31.1 | -6.2 | -7.5 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 6,000 | 10% | 84% | 2% | 5% | -5.1 | +13.5 | -1.7 | -6.7 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Kana Nakada | 2% | 96% | 1% | 1% | +0.2 | +14.3 | -17.7 | +3.2 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Kana Nakada tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -3.0 | -6.9 | +17.5 | -7.6 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | +2.5 | +8.5 | -14.7 | +3.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +3.9 | -1.1 | +1.7 | -4.5 |