Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/30 Game 2
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+88.8pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +31.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -5.6 | +10.1 | -2.2 | -2.3 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Nakada Kana | 21% | 31% | 24% | 24% | -1.1 | -1.7 | -12.1 | +14.9 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,000 from Suzuki Yu | 19% | 30% | 18% | 34% | +0.1 | +0.2 | -5.3 | +5.0 |
| East 4 | Nakada Kana ron 6,400 from Suzuki Yu | 19% | 29% | 14% | 38% | +1.3 | -19.8 | +19.3 | -0.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 20% | 17% | 23% | 39% | +3.5 | -0.5 | -7.9 | +4.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 16% | 20% | 43% | +41.0 | -12.1 | -12.3 | -16.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 60% | 8% | 10% | 22% | -8.1 | +22.4 | -9.2 | -5.0 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Yu ron 5,800 from Nakada Kana | 52% | 19% | 8% | 21% | -3.4 | +19.4 | -13.3 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 2,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 46% | 32% | 4% | 19% | -2.8 | +12.0 | -0.1 | -9.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000 | 39% | 46% | 4% | 12% | -17.6 | +31.6 | -5.8 | -8.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 6,000 | 9% | 84% | 1% | 5% | -4.4 | +12.2 | -2.0 | -5.7 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Nakada Kana | 3% | 95% | 1% | 2% | +0.6 | +14.8 | -17.2 | +1.8 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Nakada Kana tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | -3.8 | -7.4 | +17.8 | -6.5 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana | 1% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +2.3 | +9.1 | -15.2 | +3.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +4.2 | -1.2 | +1.6 | -4.6 |