Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/31 Game 1
Asami Maki finished 1st (+67.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Asami Maki tsumo 16,000, which moved Asami Maki's expected points by +43.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asami Maki tsumo 16,000 | 23% | 26% | 26% | 25% | -22.9 | -10.9 | +43.2 | -9.5 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 2,000 | 9% | 14% | 62% | 16% | +7.5 | -7.7 | -1.4 | +1.6 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 11% | 62% | 17% | +32.7 | -8.4 | -13.7 | -10.6 |
| East 4 | Draw | 32% | 8% | 47% | 13% | +5.1 | -2.3 | -4.6 | +1.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 3,000 | 37% | 8% | 42% | 13% | -4.0 | -2.0 | -5.6 | +11.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 34% | 9% | 37% | 20% | +34.5 | -8.0 | -8.6 | -17.9 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 5,200 | 70% | 4% | 20% | 6% | -2.1 | -5.5 | -6.1 | +13.7 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 73% | 2% | 15% | 10% | -9.8 | -13.1 | -11.1 | +34.1 |
| South 3 | Asami Maki ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 57% | 0% | 10% | 33% | -7.7 | -12.8 | +28.7 | -8.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Asami Maki ron 5,800 from Hagiwara Masato | 44% | 0% | 29% | 26% | -23.3 | -0.2 | +25.4 | -1.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Asami Maki ron 2,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 15% | 0% | 64% | 21% | -13.8 | +0.2 | +11.9 | +1.7 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 5,200 | 4% | 0% | 80% | 16% | -7.4 | -1.3 | -9.7 | +18.5 |
| South 4 | Asami Maki tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 0% | 68% | 31% | -1.8 | -0.4 | +17.7 | -15.5 |