Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/31 Game 2
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+78.1pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Honda Tomohiro tsumo 24,000, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +49.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 16,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -3.0 | +45.6 | -3.3 | -39.3 |
| East 2 | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 16% | 62% | 17% | 5% | -0.3 | -1.0 | +2.9 | -1.6 |
| East 3 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 62% | 18% | 5% | -9.2 | -14.4 | +30.4 | -6.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 12% | 43% | 41% | 4% | +20.9 | +4.7 | -24.1 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,600 from Watanabe Futoshi | 24% | 51% | 21% | 4% | -7.8 | +3.3 | +7.9 | -3.4 |
| South 1 | Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Hinata Aiko | 17% | 55% | 26% | 2% | -1.6 | -11.9 | +14.7 | -1.1 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 2,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 16% | 40% | 43% | 2% | -2.9 | +10.4 | -3.9 | -3.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 5,200 | 11% | 52% | 35% | 1% | -1.2 | -3.8 | -3.5 | +8.6 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 13% | 51% | 33% | 3% | -1.4 | -4.7 | +10.5 | -4.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 24,000 | 10% | 42% | 46% | 2% | -15.7 | -25.4 | +49.8 | -8.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,600 from Honda Tomohiro | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +5.5 | +0.1 | -4.9 | -0.8 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,300 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -2.8 | +4.7 | +1.9 | -3.9 |