Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
1/31 Game 2
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+78.1pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Tomohiro Honda tsumo 24,000, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +49.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 16,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -6.0 | +46.0 | -2.6 | -37.4 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 15% | 62% | 17% | 6% | +2.8 | -1.5 | +0.8 | -2.1 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 62% | 17% | 6% | -10.3 | -12.8 | +30.5 | -7.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 12% | 44% | 40% | 4% | +20.4 | +5.4 | -25.0 | -0.8 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,600 from Futoshi Watanabe | 23% | 53% | 19% | 4% | -5.3 | +1.3 | +9.8 | -5.8 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Aiko Hinata | 19% | 55% | 25% | 1% | -4.5 | -10.9 | +14.7 | +0.6 |
| South 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 2,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 16% | 40% | 42% | 2% | -2.7 | +8.3 | -1.6 | -4.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 5,200 | 11% | 50% | 38% | 1% | -0.7 | -3.3 | -4.9 | +8.9 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 13% | 51% | 33% | 3% | -2.6 | -4.5 | +10.3 | -3.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 24,000 | 9% | 42% | 47% | 2% | -14.5 | -24.9 | +49.3 | -9.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,600 from Tomohiro Honda | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +5.7 | -0.1 | -4.7 | -0.8 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,300 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -3.2 | +4.9 | +2.0 | -3.7 |