Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/3 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+70.9pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +27.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 26% | 24% | 23% | 26% | -3.4 | -0.6 | -11.1 | +15.1 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 23% | 23% | 18% | 37% | -22.6 | -3.7 | -1.1 | +27.4 |
| East 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Date Arisa | 9% | 16% | 14% | 62% | +1.9 | -0.6 | -2.8 | +1.6 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 3,900 | 9% | 16% | 11% | 65% | -1.6 | -4.8 | -2.8 | +9.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 7% | 11% | 8% | 75% | -4.2 | +2.8 | +3.6 | -2.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 6% | 11% | 9% | 74% | +6.7 | -1.7 | -2.7 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,700 | 9% | 11% | 9% | 71% | -8.9 | -2.7 | -3.2 | +14.8 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 6% | 4% | 90% | -5.9 | -19.3 | +25.7 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 1% | 0% | 8% | 91% | +30.0 | -5.9 | -27.1 | +3.0 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 99% | -1.7 | -2.9 | -2.1 | +6.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +9.9 | -7.5 | +0.2 | -2.6 |