Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/4 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+65.1pt). The game was decided in South 2: Sho Shiratori tsumo 16,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +55.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 26% | 26% | 24% | -8.8 | -6.9 | -6.8 | +22.5 |
| East 2 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 21% | 20% | 41% | -11.9 | +30.4 | -9.4 | -9.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 2,000 | 10% | 43% | 15% | 32% | -1.6 | -5.2 | -2.7 | +9.5 |
| East 3 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 5,200 from Genta Takeuchi | 10% | 38% | 13% | 39% | +0.3 | +17.2 | -15.5 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 7% | 54% | 5% | 34% | +5.7 | +1.4 | -5.5 | -1.6 |
| South 1 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 2,700 | 9% | 56% | 4% | 31% | -10.8 | +3.8 | +6.5 | +0.5 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 16,000 | 4% | 62% | 5% | 29% | +55.8 | -29.5 | -12.5 | -13.7 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 46% | 26% | 3% | 24% | +30.0 | -8.5 | -11.0 | -10.4 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 88% | 4% | 0% | 8% | +8.0 | +4.4 | +0.1 | -12.6 |