Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/4 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+67.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Asai Takaki, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +44.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 25% | 24% | 28% | -19.2 | +33.9 | -4.8 | -10.0 |
| East 2 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 5,200 | 12% | 51% | 19% | 19% | -2.7 | -7.7 | +11.6 | -1.2 |
| East 3 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 3,000 | 11% | 44% | 27% | 19% | -4.5 | -1.5 | +11.6 | -5.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko | 10% | 41% | 34% | 15% | -1.1 | +1.0 | -34.3 | +34.4 |
| East 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 12,000 from Asai Takaki | 8% | 43% | 11% | 38% | -21.0 | -5.3 | -0.2 | +26.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 1,500 from Hori Shingo | 2% | 28% | 8% | 62% | -0.5 | -7.9 | +0.4 | +7.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 19% | 7% | 72% | -2.6 | +14.9 | -5.4 | -6.9 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 32% | 5% | 63% | -7.7 | -2.9 | +8.5 | +2.1 |
| South 2 | Asai Takaki ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 0% | 27% | 6% | 67% | +13.9 | -1.8 | -17.1 | +5.0 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 20% | 2% | 78% | -2.3 | +18.2 | -4.3 | -11.6 |
| South 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 3,900 | 0% | 48% | 0% | 52% | -0.8 | -17.4 | -1.9 | +20.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Asai Takaki | 0% | 11% | 0% | 89% | -14.0 | +44.6 | +6.3 | -36.9 |