Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/4 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+67.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Takaki Asai, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +44.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -18.0 | +35.1 | -8.1 | -9.0 |
| East 2 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 5,200 | 13% | 53% | 17% | 18% | -4.8 | -6.5 | +13.0 | -1.7 |
| East 3 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 3,000 | 11% | 47% | 25% | 18% | -4.6 | -7.1 | +13.6 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 12,000 from Aiko Hinata | 9% | 38% | 36% | 17% | -0.8 | +5.0 | -36.4 | +32.2 |
| East 4 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 12,000 from Takaki Asai | 9% | 42% | 12% | 37% | -21.2 | -6.2 | -0.4 | +27.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 1,500 from Shingo Hori | 2% | 28% | 7% | 64% | -1.2 | -6.5 | +0.9 | +6.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 20% | 6% | 72% | -2.1 | +12.3 | -4.5 | -5.8 |
| South 1 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 30% | 5% | 65% | -6.7 | -2.3 | +8.0 | +1.1 |
| South 2 | Takaki Asai ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 0% | 25% | 7% | 68% | +13.5 | -0.3 | -17.0 | +3.8 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 22% | 2% | 76% | -2.3 | +17.0 | -5.0 | -9.8 |
| South 4 | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 3,900 | 0% | 47% | 0% | 53% | -0.9 | -17.2 | -1.8 | +19.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Takaki Asai | 0% | 10% | 0% | 90% | -14.3 | +44.9 | +6.7 | -37.2 |