Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/6 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+69.3pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 7,800, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +24.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | +4.2 | -6.4 | +5.2 | -3.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 7,800 | 28% | 20% | 28% | 24% | +24.4 | -7.3 | -7.2 | -9.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 47% | 14% | 22% | 17% | -16.9 | +0.7 | -0.6 | +16.7 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 4,000 | 33% | 17% | 22% | 28% | +11.3 | -7.0 | -3.7 | -0.6 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 6,400 from Shiratori Sho | 42% | 12% | 19% | 27% | +19.3 | -14.6 | -3.0 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 62% | 5% | 12% | 21% | +3.6 | +28.2 | +1.6 | -33.4 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go | 69% | 13% | 13% | 6% | +1.0 | -0.6 | -5.2 | +4.8 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 3,000 | 73% | 10% | 10% | 7% | -2.3 | +9.2 | -2.8 | -4.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 5,200 | 70% | 15% | 9% | 6% | +2.7 | -11.1 | +14.8 | -6.5 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 77% | 6% | 12% | 5% | +17.1 | -19.8 | +1.6 | +1.1 |
| South 4 | Draw | 97% | 0% | 1% | 2% | +4.5 | +4.3 | +4.5 | -13.2 |