Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/6 Game 1
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+69.3pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 7,800, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +25.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +2.4 | -6.5 | +3.9 | +0.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 7,800 | 26% | 21% | 28% | 25% | +25.7 | -6.8 | -8.8 | -10.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Kenji Katsumata | 47% | 15% | 20% | 17% | -17.3 | -0.5 | -0.9 | +18.7 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 4,000 | 32% | 17% | 21% | 31% | +12.6 | -6.4 | -3.5 | -2.7 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 6,400 from Sho Shiratori | 43% | 12% | 17% | 28% | +19.8 | -15.6 | -1.4 | -2.9 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 63% | 5% | 12% | 20% | +4.1 | +27.6 | +3.1 | -34.7 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi | 70% | 11% | 13% | 5% | +0.2 | -0.5 | -6.2 | +6.5 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 3,000 | 74% | 10% | 9% | 7% | -2.7 | +9.4 | -3.2 | -3.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 5,200 | 71% | 15% | 9% | 6% | +2.6 | -10.2 | +14.2 | -6.5 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 77% | 6% | 12% | 5% | +17.0 | -19.6 | +2.0 | +0.7 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 97% | 0% | 1% | 2% | +4.4 | +3.8 | +4.5 | -12.7 |