Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/6 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+57.1pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +24.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 3,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +5.6 | -1.0 | -2.9 | -1.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 28% | 24% | 23% | 25% | -0.6 | -23.5 | +24.5 | -0.4 |
| East 2 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 11% | 41% | 22% | +11.4 | -6.8 | -2.2 | -2.4 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,500 from Watanabe Futoshi | 35% | 8% | 38% | 20% | -2.9 | -1.8 | +4.9 | -0.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 7,800 | 32% | 7% | 42% | 19% | -8.7 | -3.5 | +18.8 | -6.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 5% | 60% | 14% | -2.7 | -4.5 | -4.3 | +11.5 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 4% | 57% | 20% | -2.0 | +10.5 | +2.7 | -11.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 18% | 6% | 63% | 13% | +6.2 | +0.5 | -4.4 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 2,000 | 23% | 7% | 57% | 12% | -4.1 | +3.0 | +3.4 | -2.3 |
| South 2 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 19% | 7% | 63% | 11% | +13.3 | -3.7 | +1.4 | -11.0 |
| South 3 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu | 27% | 2% | 64% | 7% | +9.5 | -12.2 | -1.1 | +3.8 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Watanabe Futoshi | 32% | 0% | 63% | 5% | -11.4 | -0.6 | +5.8 | +6.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 17% | 0% | 76% | 7% | -3.8 | +25.6 | +10.5 | -32.2 |