Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/6 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+57.1pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +25.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 3,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +7.3 | -2.3 | -2.7 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 30% | 23% | 23% | 24% | -2.0 | -22.2 | +25.3 | -1.1 |
| East 2 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 12% | 41% | 21% | +12.0 | -8.4 | -3.4 | -0.2 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,500 from Futoshi Watanabe | 34% | 8% | 37% | 21% | -3.2 | +1.4 | +4.5 | -2.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 7,800 | 32% | 8% | 41% | 19% | -9.0 | -6.2 | +20.8 | -5.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 4% | 61% | 14% | -3.8 | -4.0 | -3.9 | +11.7 |
| East 4 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 18% | 4% | 58% | 20% | -0.8 | +9.5 | +2.2 | -10.9 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 5% | 64% | 13% | +7.2 | -0.9 | -3.7 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 6% | 58% | 12% | -6.0 | +5.7 | +3.0 | -2.7 |
| South 2 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 17% | 7% | 66% | 10% | +13.2 | -3.6 | +1.0 | -10.5 |
| South 3 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki | 25% | 2% | 66% | 7% | +12.2 | -12.4 | -2.3 | +2.5 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Futoshi Watanabe | 35% | 0% | 61% | 4% | -12.8 | -1.8 | +6.1 | +8.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 17% | 0% | 76% | 7% | -4.1 | +26.3 | +10.9 | -33.1 |