Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/7 Game 1
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+65.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hori Shingo tsumo 16,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +54.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Takeuchi Genta | 25% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -2.3 | +7.8 | +0.1 | -5.6 |
| East 2 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 28% | 27% | 22% | -4.6 | -11.9 | +22.7 | -6.2 |
| East 3 | Draw | 19% | 19% | 45% | 18% | -2.1 | -2.4 | +1.7 | +2.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 18% | 18% | 45% | 19% | +3.4 | -2.6 | -4.1 | +3.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takeuchi Genta ron 18,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 20% | 16% | 42% | 22% | -3.4 | -1.4 | -53.9 | +58.7 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 10% | 5% | 74% | +24.5 | -6.6 | -5.7 | -12.2 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,700 | 27% | 9% | 3% | 61% | -5.2 | +6.2 | -2.0 | +1.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 22% | 11% | 4% | 63% | +4.5 | -7.8 | -4.6 | +7.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 3,900 | 20% | 2% | 3% | 75% | -3.4 | -3.9 | +7.9 | -0.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Takeuchi Genta ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 18% | 2% | 4% | 76% | -0.5 | +1.4 | -10.5 | +9.6 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 16,000 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 91% | +54.6 | -2.4 | -6.2 | -46.0 |