Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/7 Game 1
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+65.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Shingo Hori tsumo 16,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +54.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -1.6 | +6.2 | +2.2 | -6.8 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 30% | 26% | 21% | -3.4 | -13.1 | +21.4 | -4.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 19% | 42% | 19% | -4.6 | -2.5 | +5.0 | +2.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 18% | 46% | 20% | +1.8 | 0.0 | -4.1 | +2.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 18,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 18% | 19% | 41% | 22% | -0.6 | -5.0 | -53.8 | +59.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 10% | 5% | 74% | +22.9 | -6.6 | -5.0 | -11.3 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,700 | 26% | 7% | 5% | 62% | -5.4 | +7.3 | -3.1 | +1.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 10% | 5% | 65% | +5.4 | -8.1 | -4.6 | +7.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 3,900 | 19% | 2% | 3% | 75% | -2.8 | -3.6 | +8.0 | -1.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 19% | 2% | 5% | 75% | 0.0 | +1.6 | -11.3 | +9.7 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori tsumo 16,000 | 8% | 1% | 0% | 91% | +54.0 | -2.5 | -6.2 | -45.3 |