Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/10 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+54.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +60.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Date Arisa | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +10.1 | +0.2 | -0.4 | -9.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 2,600 from Date Arisa | 30% | 25% | 25% | 21% | -0.2 | +6.0 | +1.5 | -7.3 |
| East 2 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 5,800 from Suzuki Taro | 30% | 28% | 25% | 17% | -16.0 | +17.4 | -2.3 | +0.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 42% | 23% | 17% | -8.2 | +30.0 | -12.3 | -9.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 9% | 70% | 11% | 9% | -7.4 | +1.7 | +3.9 | +1.8 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 7% | 72% | 13% | 8% | +0.1 | +0.7 | -21.4 | +20.6 |
| East 3 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 2,000 | 6% | 74% | 6% | 14% | +0.4 | +6.4 | -4.4 | -2.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 5% | 82% | 3% | 10% | -3.9 | +5.6 | -0.6 | -1.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 3% | 88% | 2% | 7% | +4.7 | -3.0 | +2.0 | -3.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 4% | 86% | 3% | 6% | -5.8 | -14.5 | -3.6 | +23.9 |
| South 2 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 2,900 from Suzuki Taro | 2% | 72% | 3% | 22% | -6.1 | +6.4 | +0.3 | -0.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 1% | 79% | 2% | 18% | -8.0 | -33.7 | +33.5 | +8.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 2% | 40% | 18% | 40% | -0.2 | -5.1 | +9.3 | -4.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 1,100 | 3% | 36% | 25% | 36% | -4.4 | +2.4 | -12.3 | +14.3 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 35% | 11% | 54% | -3.7 | -11.8 | +60.6 | -45.1 |