Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

2/10 Game 1

Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+54.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +60.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 2South 2End● Mizuhara Akina● Suzuki Taro● Sarukawa Masatoshi● Date Arisa0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Mizuhara● Suzuki● Sarukawa● Date
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSuzuki Taro
1st-place chance
Sarukawa Masatoshi
1st-place chance
Mizuhara Akina
1st-place chance
Date Arisa
1st-place chance
Suzuki Taro
Expected pt change
Sarukawa Masatoshi
Expected pt change
Mizuhara Akina
Expected pt change
Date Arisa
Expected pt change
East 1Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Date Arisa24%25%25%26%+10.1+0.2-0.4-9.9
East 1, 1 honbaSarukawa Masatoshi ron 2,600 from Date Arisa30%25%25%21%-0.2+6.0+1.5-7.3
East 2Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 5,800 from Suzuki Taro30%28%25%17%-16.0+17.4-2.3+0.9
East 2, 1 honbaSarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 12,00018%42%23%17%-8.2+30.0-12.3-9.5
East 2, 2 honbaDraw9%70%11%9%-7.4+1.7+3.9+1.8
East 2, 3 honbaDate Arisa ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina7%72%13%8%+0.1+0.7-21.4+20.6
East 3Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 2,0006%74%6%14%+0.4+6.4-4.4-2.3
East 4Draw5%82%3%10%-3.9+5.6-0.6-1.2
South 1, 1 honbaDraw3%88%2%7%+4.7-3.0+2.0-3.7
South 1, 2 honbaDate Arisa ron 8,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi4%86%3%6%-5.8-14.5-3.6+23.9
South 2Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 2,900 from Suzuki Taro2%72%3%22%-6.1+6.4+0.3-0.6
South 2, 1 honbaMizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi1%79%2%18%-8.0-33.7+33.5+8.3
South 3Draw2%40%18%40%-0.2-5.1+9.3-4.0
South 3, 1 honbaDate Arisa tsumo 1,1003%36%25%36%-4.4+2.4-12.3+14.3
South 4Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,0000%35%11%54%-3.7-11.8+60.6-45.1

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)