Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/11 Game 2
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+78.6pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Shiratori Sho ron 18,000 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +39.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 25% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -21.5 | +1.6 | 0.0 | +19.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 13% | 22% | 24% | 41% | -7.4 | +2.8 | -0.2 | +4.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 1,500 from Hagiwara Masato | 9% | 25% | 22% | 44% | -4.1 | +4.7 | -1.1 | +0.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 18,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 7% | 26% | 21% | 46% | -30.5 | +39.1 | -1.4 | -7.1 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 1% | 56% | 14% | 28% | -0.4 | +3.2 | +15.3 | -18.1 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 62% | 22% | 15% | -4.7 | -13.9 | +27.3 | -8.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 42% | 47% | 11% | +9.9 | 0.0 | -6.4 | -3.5 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 46% | 43% | 10% | -3.2 | +28.9 | -12.7 | -13.0 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 80% | 17% | 3% | -10.9 | -4.5 | -8.0 | +23.5 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 4,800 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 76% | 15% | 9% | -0.3 | +9.9 | -10.7 | +1.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 88% | 6% | 6% | -0.6 | +3.3 | -1.0 | -1.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 90% | 5% | 5% | +1.8 | -2.3 | -4.1 | +4.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Draw | 0% | 91% | 4% | 5% | +0.6 | +1.4 | +4.5 | -6.4 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 91% | 5% | 4% | -1.9 | +8.1 | -1.5 | -4.7 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | +13.1 | -1.8 | +3.6 | -14.8 |