Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

2/11 Game 2

Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+78.6pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Sho Shiratori ron 18,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +41.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance	Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance	Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance	Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance	Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change	Sho Shiratori Expected pt change	Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change	Aki Nikaido Expected pt change
East 1	Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara	25%	27%	24%	24%	-23.9	+1.5	-0.1	+22.6
East 2	Exhaustive draw	11%	25%	23%	41%	-5.0	-3.2	+4.6	+3.5
East 2, 1 honba	Sho Shiratori ron 1,500 from Masato Hagiwara	9%	22%	26%	44%	-3.3	+9.4	-4.2	-2.0
East 2, 2 honba	Sho Shiratori ron 18,000 from Masato Hagiwara	8%	28%	23%	41%	-32.5	+41.4	-2.5	-6.4
East 2, 3 honba	Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido	1%	61%	13%	25%	+0.7	-1.3	+16.9	-16.3
East 3	Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000	1%	62%	23%	15%	-5.1	-12.0	+26.6	-9.5
East 3, 1 honba	Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000	0%	43%	47%	10%	+10.8	+1.2	-8.5	-3.5
East 4	Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000	1%	48%	41%	10%	-4.0	+27.4	-10.9	-12.5
South 1	Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000	0%	80%	18%	2%	-11.2	-3.9	-8.0	+23.1
South 2	Sho Shiratori ron 4,800 from Sayaka Kayamori	0%	78%	14%	9%	+0.5	+8.1	-10.5	+1.9
South 2, 1 honba	Sho Shiratori tsumo 1,500	0%	87%	7%	7%	-1.2	+4.1	-1.1	-1.7
South 2, 2 honba	Exhaustive draw	0%	91%	5%	4%	+2.0	-2.4	-4.3	+4.7
South 3, 3 honba	Exhaustive draw	0%	91%	4%	5%	+0.3	+1.7	+4.1	-6.1
South 3, 4 honba	Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,000	0%	93%	4%	3%	-2.0	+7.9	-0.8	-5.0
South 4	Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000	0%	98%	0%	2%	+13.4	-2.0	+3.4	-14.7

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)