Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/13 Game 1
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+63.2pt). The game was decided in South 2: Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +43.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -23.7 | +0.4 | +24.5 | -1.2 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,700 | 11% | 24% | 42% | 24% | +8.9 | -6.3 | -1.8 | -0.8 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 19% | 42% | 24% | +8.7 | -2.2 | -3.7 | -2.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,600 from Shingo Hori | 20% | 18% | 38% | 24% | +10.5 | -11.6 | +2.0 | -0.9 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori ron 5,200 from Takaya Matsugase | 26% | 12% | 41% | 22% | -0.6 | +15.3 | +3.3 | -17.9 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 20% | 44% | 12% | +43.1 | -22.5 | -12.8 | -7.8 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori | 74% | 1% | 19% | 5% | +12.1 | +0.8 | -6.4 | -6.5 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 94% | 0% | 3% | 3% | +1.9 | +2.7 | -6.0 | +1.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 96% | 0% | 1% | 3% | -5.3 | -0.4 | +2.3 | +3.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 90% | 1% | 4% | 5% | +7.6 | +2.8 | +5.1 | -15.5 |