Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

2/13 Game 1

Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+63.2pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +42.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 4End● Kobayashi Go● Hori Shingo● Asami Maki● Matsugase Takaya0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Kobayashi● Hori● Asami● Matsugase
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Hori Shingo
1st-place chance
Asami Maki
1st-place chance
Matsugase Takaya
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
Hori Shingo
Expected pt change
Asami Maki
Expected pt change
Matsugase Takaya
Expected pt change
East 1Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go25%25%25%25%-23.2-0.3+21.9+1.6
East 2Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,70011%23%42%24%+7.0-4.9-0.1-2.0
East 3Draw15%19%44%22%+8.1-2.2-4.4-1.5
East 4, 1 honbaKobayashi Go ron 2,600 from Hori Shingo19%19%39%24%+10.9-11.4+3.6-3.1
South 1Hori Shingo ron 5,200 from Matsugase Takaya25%13%43%19%+1.5+12.4+2.0-15.9
South 2Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,00025%18%45%13%+42.5-20.1-13.5-9.0
South 3Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Hori Shingo75%2%18%6%+12.1+0.2-6.7-5.7
South 4Draw94%0%3%3%+0.8+2.7-6.3+2.8
South 4, 1 honbaDraw94%0%1%4%-4.3-0.5+3.1+1.7
South 4, 2 honbaKobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Matsugase Takaya90%1%4%6%+7.6+2.9+5.1-15.6

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)