Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/14 Game 1
Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+58.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Genta Takeuchi ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +28.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Genta Takeuchi ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 24% | 27% | 24% | 24% | +28.6 | -0.1 | 0.0 | -28.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 46% | 23% | 20% | 10% | +3.8 | +1.2 | -2.7 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 48% | 24% | 20% | 8% | -2.7 | +23.6 | -3.4 | -17.5 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 42% | 40% | 15% | 4% | -4.2 | +3.1 | -0.6 | +1.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 39% | 42% | 15% | 4% | -0.4 | -6.0 | +19.7 | -13.3 |
| East 3 | Genta Takeuchi ron 1,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 37% | 36% | 26% | 2% | +3.7 | +2.9 | -4.3 | -2.3 |
| East 4 | Genta Takeuchi ron 2,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 40% | 38% | 21% | 1% | +11.4 | -8.7 | -0.9 | -1.8 |
| South 1 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,600 from Tomohiro Honda | 54% | 27% | 19% | 0% | -0.6 | +8.3 | -8.8 | +1.1 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 54% | 33% | 12% | 1% | +3.6 | -28.9 | +26.9 | -1.6 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 4,000 | 60% | 9% | 30% | 0% | +6.5 | -3.4 | -6.9 | +3.8 |
| South 4 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 76% | 6% | 17% | 0% | +8.5 | +22.5 | -25.3 | -5.8 |