Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/14 Game 2
Sugawara Hiroe finished 1st (+49.9pt). The game was decided in South 2: Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 8,000, which moved Sugawara Hiroe's expected points by +36.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,200 from Sugawara Hiroe | 25% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -2.7 | +2.0 | +14.5 | -13.7 |
| East 2 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 26% | 34% | 18% | -8.3 | +29.9 | -11.2 | -10.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 17% | 50% | 23% | 11% | +4.1 | -4.4 | +3.0 | -2.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 46% | 25% | 10% | +24.5 | -5.7 | -14.7 | -4.0 |
| East 4 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 5,800 from Kurosawa Saki | 35% | 40% | 16% | 10% | -14.9 | +2.3 | -2.5 | +15.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 24% | 44% | 14% | 17% | -2.7 | -3.2 | +4.3 | +1.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 41% | 19% | 17% | -3.8 | -6.0 | +22.6 | -12.9 |
| South 1 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 35% | 34% | 10% | -16.5 | -2.7 | -8.1 | +27.3 |
| South 2 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 34% | 29% | 26% | -8.5 | -18.8 | -9.2 | +36.6 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 5,200 | 6% | 12% | 17% | 65% | +15.7 | -3.3 | -18.1 | +5.6 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 8% | 6% | 78% | -25.0 | -7.6 | +26.6 | +6.0 |