Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/14 Game 2
Hiroe Sugawara finished 1st (+49.9pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 8,000, which moved Hiroe Sugawara's expected points by +32.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 5,200 from Hiroe Sugawara | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -2.1 | +0.3 | +15.5 | -13.6 |
| East 2 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 24% | 35% | 17% | -11.2 | +31.0 | -11.2 | -8.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 48% | 25% | 12% | +5.9 | -4.5 | +1.3 | -2.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 45% | 26% | 12% | +26.7 | -4.6 | -14.8 | -7.3 |
| East 4 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 5,800 from Saki Kurosawa | 36% | 39% | 16% | 9% | -17.0 | +2.7 | -1.1 | +15.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 45% | 16% | 16% | -3.1 | -3.7 | +4.4 | +2.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 41% | 19% | 18% | -4.7 | -4.1 | +20.3 | -11.5 |
| South 1 | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 36% | 34% | 11% | -16.6 | -3.8 | -9.1 | +29.5 |
| South 2 | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 35% | 27% | 28% | -6.9 | -16.8 | -8.7 | +32.4 |
| South 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 5,200 | 6% | 15% | 17% | 63% | +15.9 | -6.1 | -15.9 | +6.1 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 8% | 7% | 75% | -25.3 | -7.6 | +25.9 | +6.9 |