Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

2/17 Game 1

Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+52.3pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Draw, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +14.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance	Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance	Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance	Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance	Suzuki Yu Expected pt change	Sonoda Ken Expected pt change	Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change	Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change
East 1	Draw	25%	24%	24%	26%	+2.5	-2.1	+3.2	-3.6
East 1, 1 honba	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,300 from Suzuki Yu	27%	23%	26%	24%	-9.9	-1.7	+9.2	+2.4
East 2	Draw	20%	22%	33%	25%	-1.0	+3.4	-4.1	+1.7
East 2, 1 honba	Draw	20%	24%	31%	26%	+1.2	+1.3	-5.8	+3.3
East 2, 2 honba	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,300 from Suzuki Yu	20%	24%	26%	30%	-4.8	-2.3	+4.0	+3.1
East 3	Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Suzuki Yu	17%	23%	28%	32%	-2.6	+5.5	-0.1	-2.8
East 4	Suzuki Yu ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken	17%	27%	27%	29%	+5.9	-5.3	+0.7	-1.3
South 1	Suzuki Yu tsumo 3,900	20%	24%	28%	28%	+10.9	-4.5	-1.2	-5.2
South 1, 1 honba	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken	27%	20%	28%	25%	+1.2	-13.2	+9.2	+2.8
South 2	Sonoda Ken ron 7,700 from Suzuki Yu	27%	12%	36%	26%	-27.7	+29.2	+0.9	-2.4
South 2, 1 honba	Sonoda Ken ron 5,800 from Sugawara Hiroe	11%	30%	36%	23%	+1.4	+23.2	-2.0	-22.6
South 2, 2 honba	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,300 from Suzuki Yu	9%	53%	29%	9%	-10.0	+1.4	+7.1	+1.6
South 3	Draw	2%	56%	32%	10%	+0.3	-4.9	+8.0	-3.4
South 3, 1 honba	Sugawara Hiroe ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken	3%	46%	43%	8%	-10.2	-32.4	+10.9	+31.6
South 4	Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 2,100	1%	10%	70%	20%	-1.1	-5.7	-1.6	+8.4
South 4, 1 honba	Draw	0%	10%	68%	22%	-4.0	-3.8	+14.8	-7.0

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)