Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/17 Game 2
Nakabayashi Kei finished 1st (+61.8pt). The game was decided in South 3: Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 12,000, which moved Nakabayashi Kei's expected points by +44.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -2.7 | -5.2 | +7.1 | +0.8 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 16,000 | 23% | 23% | 29% | 26% | -10.5 | -25.0 | +44.7 | -9.2 |
| East 3 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 5% | 69% | 15% | -3.3 | -5.3 | -10.8 | +19.4 |
| East 4 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 5% | 59% | 26% | -8.2 | -8.9 | -16.1 | +33.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 6% | 3% | 32% | 59% | -3.1 | -2.1 | +9.8 | -4.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 5,800 from Nakabayashi Kei | 4% | 2% | 42% | 52% | +14.0 | -1.0 | +2.5 | -15.5 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 2,000 | 11% | 2% | 51% | 37% | -6.1 | -2.5 | +11.4 | -2.7 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 4% | 2% | 66% | 28% | +14.9 | -13.5 | +1.9 | -3.2 |
| South 3 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 0% | 70% | 24% | -9.2 | -3.1 | -32.4 | +44.8 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 7% | 92% | +6.2 | -1.4 | -3.0 | -1.8 |