Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/20 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+62.7pt). The game was decided in South 1: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +36.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 24% | 23% | 27% | -12.8 | -4.6 | +24.1 | -6.6 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 19% | 42% | 23% | -6.6 | -18.2 | -9.3 | +34.1 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 6,000 | 11% | 10% | 31% | 49% | -6.7 | -4.0 | +18.3 | -7.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 8% | 47% | 38% | -5.3 | +21.9 | -11.5 | -5.1 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 8% | 18% | 38% | 36% | -0.5 | -13.8 | +13.5 | +0.8 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 10% | 51% | 33% | +36.1 | -10.9 | -9.6 | -15.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 1,100 | 25% | 8% | 43% | 24% | -2.4 | -3.5 | +1.1 | +4.8 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 6,400 from Taro Suzuki | 23% | 6% | 44% | 26% | +27.3 | -6.8 | -24.1 | +3.7 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 53% | 2% | 18% | 27% | +30.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | -28.9 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 6,400 from Sayaka Kayamori | 94% | 0% | 1% | 4% | +2.3 | +15.3 | +12.4 | -30.1 |