Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/20 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+62.7pt). The game was decided in South 1: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +35.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -11.2 | -5.0 | +19.9 | -3.7 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 21% | 40% | 23% | -8.3 | -17.8 | -5.9 | +32.0 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 6,000 | 11% | 10% | 33% | 46% | -4.0 | -4.5 | +14.9 | -6.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 8% | 46% | 38% | -6.2 | +20.8 | -11.2 | -3.4 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 9% | 17% | 37% | 38% | 0.0 | -14.1 | +15.5 | -1.4 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 9% | 51% | 32% | +35.4 | -10.8 | -9.9 | -14.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 1,100 | 26% | 7% | 43% | 24% | -3.1 | -2.7 | +0.3 | +5.4 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 6,400 from Suzuki Taro | 22% | 7% | 44% | 28% | +27.4 | -6.9 | -22.5 | +2.0 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 52% | 2% | 20% | 26% | +30.4 | +0.3 | -1.9 | -28.9 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 6,400 from Kayamori Sayaka | 94% | 0% | 1% | 5% | +2.5 | +15.0 | +11.7 | -29.2 |