Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/20 Game 2
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+108.8pt). The game was decided in South 3: Hiroshi Daigo ron 24,000 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +50.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -6.2 | -1.0 | +10.8 | -3.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 23% | 33% | 23% | -3.0 | +6.3 | -2.3 | -1.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 28% | 31% | 22% | +1.2 | +1.0 | -1.4 | -0.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 28% | 30% | 23% | +0.9 | +3.1 | -7.6 | +3.6 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 20% | 31% | 25% | 24% | -23.9 | -8.0 | -3.1 | +34.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 20% | 19% | 53% | -1.8 | -0.5 | +4.5 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 7% | 20% | 23% | 50% | +38.3 | +0.5 | -0.6 | -38.2 |
| East 4 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,600 from Kazunori Takizawa | 30% | 24% | 25% | 22% | -0.2 | +12.0 | +0.8 | -12.6 |
| South 1 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,600 from Hiroshi Daigo | 28% | 34% | 24% | 14% | -4.3 | +14.6 | -7.3 | -3.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 48% | 19% | 11% | -5.4 | +3.2 | +4.2 | -1.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 18% | 51% | 21% | 10% | -3.4 | +29.8 | -1.4 | -25.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 7,800 | 5% | 84% | 9% | 2% | -3.6 | +13.7 | -6.3 | -3.8 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 96% | 3% | 0% | -7.8 | -8.3 | -8.0 | +24.1 |
| South 3 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 24,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 1% | 93% | 4% | 2% | -4.0 | -8.6 | +50.8 | -38.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 0% | 72% | 28% | 0% | +0.8 | -40.2 | +39.6 | -0.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 5% | 94% | 0% | +0.3 | -1.2 | +5.1 | -4.2 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 1,500 from Futoshi Watanabe | 0% | 2% | 97% | 0% | +0.7 | -3.4 | +2.6 | +0.1 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 99% | 0% | -3.9 | -6.1 | +14.8 | -4.8 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -0.3 | +0.4 | +14.1 | -14.2 |
| South 3, 6 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 3,900 from Hiroshi Daigo | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -0.9 | +7.6 | -6.9 | +0.2 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -2.6 | -1.9 | -1.9 | +6.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +0.5 | +0.9 | +8.6 | -10.0 |