Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/20 Game 2
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+108.8pt). The game was decided in South 3: Daigo Hiroshi ron 24,000 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +51.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -4.9 | -4.5 | +9.7 | -0.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 20% | 24% | 32% | 24% | -3.7 | +7.6 | -1.2 | -2.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 18% | 28% | 31% | 23% | +3.3 | +1.7 | -2.1 | -2.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 21% | 30% | 29% | 21% | -0.2 | +2.1 | -5.6 | +3.6 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 20% | 31% | 26% | 23% | -24.0 | -7.5 | -3.4 | +34.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 8% | 21% | 21% | 50% | -0.6 | -2.2 | +4.8 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 7% | 20% | 25% | 48% | +37.4 | +0.3 | -1.8 | -35.9 |
| East 4 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,600 from Takizawa Kazunori | 30% | 23% | 25% | 22% | -0.4 | +15.3 | -0.5 | -14.4 |
| South 1 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,600 from Daigo Hiroshi | 28% | 36% | 23% | 12% | -3.6 | +12.2 | -7.4 | -1.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 22% | 49% | 18% | 11% | -5.4 | +1.4 | +6.9 | -2.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 20% | 49% | 21% | 10% | -2.5 | +32.2 | -3.7 | -25.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 7,800 | 6% | 84% | 9% | 1% | -6.2 | +12.7 | -4.7 | -1.9 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 95% | 4% | 1% | -6.5 | -7.9 | -9.5 | +23.9 |
| South 3 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 24,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 1% | 93% | 3% | 3% | -4.3 | -8.1 | +51.5 | -39.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 12,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 0% | 73% | 27% | 0% | +0.7 | -41.3 | +40.2 | +0.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 4% | 95% | 0% | 0.0 | -0.8 | +4.4 | -3.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,500 from Watanabe Futoshi | 0% | 2% | 98% | 0% | +1.3 | -3.9 | +2.8 | -0.1 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 98% | 0% | -4.8 | -5.8 | +14.8 | -4.3 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +0.9 | +0.2 | +13.3 | -14.4 |
| South 3, 6 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 3,900 from Daigo Hiroshi | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -1.7 | +8.3 | -6.6 | 0.0 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -2.4 | -2.0 | -1.9 | +6.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +0.2 | +0.7 | +8.8 | -9.8 |