Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/21 Game 1
Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+59.5pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,000, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +26.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 27% | 23% | 25% | +1.6 | +4.0 | -1.4 | -4.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 2,600 from Naoki Setokuma | 26% | 29% | 23% | 22% | -0.9 | +11.0 | -10.0 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 37% | 18% | 21% | +22.4 | -13.7 | -5.6 | -3.1 |
| East 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 42% | 25% | 14% | 19% | +2.9 | +1.0 | -12.1 | +8.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 45% | 25% | 8% | 23% | -3.7 | -3.6 | +3.8 | +3.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 42% | 22% | 10% | 26% | +26.2 | -5.8 | -7.0 | -13.4 |
| South 1 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 5,200 | 71% | 13% | 5% | 11% | -5.0 | -3.5 | +12.1 | -3.6 |
| South 2 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 69% | 12% | 8% | 11% | +21.5 | -0.7 | -20.9 | +0.1 |
| South 3 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 6,000 | 93% | 1% | 2% | 5% | -3.0 | -4.8 | +14.3 | -6.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 91% | 1% | 3% | 4% | -5.2 | +1.0 | +3.0 | +1.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 87% | 3% | 5% | 6% | -3.8 | +26.1 | -17.5 | -4.8 |
| South 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 5,200 from Akina Mizuhara | 84% | 11% | 0% | 4% | +6.8 | -1.9 | +20.8 | -25.8 |