Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/21 Game 1
Suzuki Daisuke finished 1st (+59.5pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 8,000, which moved Suzuki Daisuke's expected points by +27.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | +2.0 | +4.3 | -1.7 | -4.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 2,600 from Setokuma Naoki | 25% | 28% | 24% | 24% | -0.8 | +11.5 | -10.8 | +0.1 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 36% | 17% | 23% | +23.2 | -11.8 | -5.9 | -5.5 |
| East 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 44% | 25% | 13% | 18% | +0.9 | +1.7 | -9.9 | +7.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 45% | 25% | 8% | 22% | -4.6 | -3.4 | +2.2 | +5.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 8,000 | 40% | 24% | 10% | 26% | +27.0 | -6.8 | -5.4 | -14.8 |
| South 1 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 5,200 | 69% | 14% | 5% | 12% | -4.8 | -3.8 | +11.9 | -3.2 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 67% | 14% | 8% | 11% | +21.8 | -0.5 | -20.7 | -0.7 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 6,000 | 93% | 1% | 2% | 5% | -2.5 | -5.8 | +14.4 | -6.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 91% | 1% | 3% | 4% | -4.5 | +1.2 | +1.2 | +2.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 87% | 2% | 5% | 6% | -4.5 | +26.4 | -17.1 | -4.8 |
| South 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 5,200 from Mizuhara Akina | 84% | 11% | 0% | 4% | +6.8 | -1.7 | +21.2 | -26.2 |