Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/21 Game 2
Nakada Kana finished 1st (+59.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Nakada Kana ron 8,000 from Shibukawa Namba, which moved Nakada Kana's expected points by +24.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakada Kana ron 8,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -3.8 | +0.1 | -20.5 | +24.2 |
| East 2 | Nakada Kana ron 5,200 from Kobayashi Go | 20% | 23% | 14% | 43% | -12.3 | -1.2 | -3.8 | +17.3 |
| East 3 | Nakada Kana ron 2,600 from Shibukawa Namba | 11% | 19% | 10% | 60% | +0.8 | -2.1 | -8.5 | +9.8 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 10% | 14% | 4% | 71% | -0.5 | +8.7 | -9.3 | +1.1 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 3,000 | 8% | 15% | 3% | 74% | +8.7 | -3.3 | -2.7 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 5,800 from Honda Tomohiro | 12% | 15% | 3% | 70% | +14.9 | -14.8 | +0.1 | -0.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 9% | 3% | 69% | -15.6 | +20.7 | -4.4 | -0.7 |
| South 2 | Draw | 8% | 18% | 2% | 71% | +2.0 | +3.9 | -1.1 | -4.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 11% | 23% | 2% | 64% | +8.9 | -6.0 | -6.1 | +3.2 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go | 14% | 15% | 1% | 69% | -8.3 | +5.3 | -2.3 | +5.3 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 5,200 from Honda Tomohiro | 7% | 11% | 0% | 81% | +18.0 | -24.9 | +0.3 | +6.5 |