Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/21 Game 2
Kana Nakada finished 1st (+59.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kana Nakada ron 8,000 from Namba Shibukawa, which moved Kana Nakada's expected points by +24.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kana Nakada ron 8,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 24% | 26% | 26% | 25% | -1.6 | -0.7 | -22.7 | +24.9 |
| East 2 | Kana Nakada ron 5,200 from Go Kobayashi | 19% | 24% | 13% | 45% | -13.0 | -3.2 | -2.9 | +19.1 |
| East 3 | Kana Nakada ron 2,600 from Namba Shibukawa | 10% | 16% | 9% | 65% | +3.1 | -2.7 | -8.1 | +7.7 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Namba Shibukawa | 10% | 13% | 5% | 73% | -0.6 | +9.9 | -8.9 | -0.4 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 3,000 | 8% | 16% | 2% | 74% | +5.1 | -2.0 | -1.0 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 5,800 from Tomohiro Honda | 11% | 15% | 3% | 71% | +16.1 | -15.8 | -0.3 | 0.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 9% | 3% | 71% | -14.0 | +22.9 | -5.7 | -3.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 20% | 2% | 68% | +2.3 | +1.2 | -0.8 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 11% | 22% | 3% | 64% | +9.7 | -6.9 | -4.9 | +2.0 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi | 16% | 14% | 2% | 69% | -9.4 | +7.4 | -3.7 | +5.7 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Honda | 8% | 11% | 0% | 81% | +18.1 | -25.5 | +0.3 | +7.0 |