Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/24 Game 1
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+51.5pt). The game was decided in East 4: Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +39.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -9.7 | +3.2 | +6.3 | +0.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 26% | 30% | 26% | -0.8 | -1.3 | -1.8 | +3.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 18% | 25% | 29% | 28% | -12.4 | -2.2 | -4.1 | +18.8 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,000 | 11% | 21% | 24% | 44% | +4.2 | -1.4 | -3.4 | +0.5 |
| East 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 20% | 22% | 46% | -10.0 | +39.3 | -7.4 | -21.9 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 57% | 15% | 21% | +2.3 | -4.4 | -2.5 | +4.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Genta Takeuchi | 8% | 52% | 15% | 26% | -5.0 | +4.9 | +11.8 | -11.8 |
| South 2 | Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 4% | 60% | 19% | 17% | -19.5 | -3.9 | -3.2 | +26.7 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 52% | 14% | 34% | +21.6 | +4.4 | -22.2 | -3.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 68% | 3% | 27% | -11.7 | +13.9 | +7.7 | -10.0 |