Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/24 Game 2
Date Arisa finished 1st (+52.2pt). The game was decided in South 1: Date Arisa tsumo 12,000, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +42.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -6.2 | +5.9 | -3.0 | +3.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 29% | 23% | 27% | 0.0 | -7.8 | -1.0 | +8.8 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 22% | 21% | 22% | 34% | -5.5 | +15.4 | -8.0 | -1.9 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,600 from Nikaido Aki | 17% | 34% | 16% | 33% | -0.9 | +8.2 | -1.1 | -6.2 |
| South 1 | Date Arisa tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 42% | 15% | 26% | +42.8 | -16.1 | -10.5 | -16.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Date Arisa ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 52% | 23% | 10% | 15% | +9.9 | -10.2 | +0.5 | -0.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Asai Takaki ron 2,300 from Date Arisa | 63% | 16% | 9% | 13% | -9.0 | -0.9 | +11.4 | -1.6 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,800 from Nikaido Aki | 55% | 16% | 15% | 14% | -2.9 | +21.9 | -4.8 | -14.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 31% | 11% | 9% | -0.8 | -17.4 | -10.3 | +28.6 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 52% | 17% | 8% | 23% | +9.6 | -16.3 | -7.6 | +14.3 |
| South 4 | Asai Takaki ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 69% | 6% | 2% | 23% | +14.0 | -28.1 | +21.1 | -7.1 |