Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/25 Game 1
Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+59.3pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Maki Asami, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +23.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +1.9 | +5.2 | -3.3 | -3.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 26% | 29% | 23% | 22% | -24.5 | -1.6 | +23.9 | +2.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 26% | 40% | 23% | -3.3 | +8.1 | -2.2 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 31% | 38% | 22% | +6.0 | -5.4 | -3.1 | +2.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 27% | 36% | 24% | -7.3 | -5.2 | -18.1 | +30.5 |
| East 4 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,600 from Shingo Hori | 10% | 22% | 20% | 49% | -0.8 | -1.0 | +9.9 | -8.0 |
| South 1 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 1,300 from Akina Mizuhara | 9% | 22% | 28% | 40% | -8.0 | -2.8 | +9.2 | +1.5 |
| South 2 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 1,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 5% | 19% | 35% | 41% | -1.2 | -7.9 | +6.1 | +3.0 |
| South 3 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 6,000 | 3% | 12% | 40% | 45% | -4.2 | -5.1 | +23.7 | -14.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 5,800 from Akina Mizuhara | 1% | 5% | 73% | 20% | +4.4 | -17.0 | +13.8 | -1.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 3,900 from Daisuke Suzuki | 0% | 0% | 88% | 11% | -6.4 | +9.9 | -5.7 | +2.2 |
| South 4 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 1% | 87% | 13% | -5.7 | +7.4 | +4.6 | -6.3 |