Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

2/25 Game 2

Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+61.5pt). The game was decided in East 2: Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +26.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Ken Sonoda● Kotaro Uchikawa● Daisuke Suzuki● Kei Nakabayashi0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Ken● Kotaro● Daisuke● Kei
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Daisuke Suzuki
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Kei Nakabayashi
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
Daisuke Suzuki
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
Kei Nakabayashi
Expected pt change
East 1Kei Nakabayashi ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa26%24%25%25%-24.9+0.1+0.5+24.3
East 2Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,00011%23%24%43%-5.2-13.8+26.0-7.0
East 3Exhaustive draw8%13%44%35%-1.8-0.6+4.2-1.8
East 3, 1 honbaKotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Daisuke Suzuki7%13%48%33%+4.3-4.1-2.7+2.5
East 4Exhaustive draw9%10%46%35%-2.9+0.6-4.2+6.4
East 4, 1 honbaKen Sonoda ron 3,900 from Daisuke Suzuki7%12%40%41%-0.3-12.2+14.8-2.4
South 1Kei Nakabayashi ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa5%5%57%33%-9.3-0.6+1.3+8.6
South 2Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Daisuke Suzuki1%4%56%39%+12.5-15.8+2.2+1.1
South 3Exhaustive draw1%0%60%39%-1.8+2.2+3.8-4.2
South 4, 1 honbaKen Sonoda ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa0%0%72%28%+1.4-4.1+15.1-12.5

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)