Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/27 Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+72.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Arisa Date, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +30.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Arisa Date | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +30.8 | -27.3 | -3.9 | +0.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 7,700 from Sayaka Okada | 47% | 10% | 20% | 23% | +20.0 | +1.6 | -1.4 | -20.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 66% | 8% | 16% | 10% | -1.0 | +2.3 | +2.2 | -3.4 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 4,000 | 67% | 8% | 17% | 8% | -2.6 | -7.1 | -5.1 | +14.9 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 65% | 6% | 15% | 15% | +19.1 | -3.6 | -10.5 | -5.0 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 85% | 3% | 5% | 7% | +1.7 | -0.6 | +20.3 | -21.5 |
| South 1 | Arisa Date tsumo 8,000 | 88% | 2% | 9% | 2% | -6.2 | +17.9 | -5.5 | -6.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 87% | 4% | 8% | 2% | -3.5 | +2.9 | +3.4 | -2.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 83% | 5% | 10% | 2% | +2.2 | -5.0 | +6.6 | -3.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 3,000 | 88% | 1% | 10% | 1% | -4.1 | -3.4 | +9.3 | -1.7 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Arisa Date | 81% | 1% | 17% | 1% | +16.8 | -12.5 | -5.4 | +1.1 |
| South 4 | Arisa Date tsumo 2,000 | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | -0.3 | +7.6 | +0.7 | -7.9 |