Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/27 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+72.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Date Arisa, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +27.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Date Arisa | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | +27.8 | -28.1 | -0.5 | +0.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 7,700 from Okada Sayaka | 46% | 10% | 22% | 22% | +18.7 | +0.8 | -1.1 | -18.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 64% | 8% | 18% | 11% | +0.4 | +4.6 | -0.5 | -4.5 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 67% | 9% | 16% | 9% | +0.5 | -10.1 | -4.9 | +14.5 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 68% | 4% | 14% | 14% | +17.3 | -3.8 | -10.1 | -3.4 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 85% | 2% | 5% | 8% | +1.6 | 0.0 | +19.3 | -20.9 |
| South 1 | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 87% | 2% | 8% | 2% | -7.5 | +17.7 | -3.8 | -6.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 85% | 4% | 8% | 3% | -1.7 | +3.1 | +2.8 | -4.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 84% | 5% | 9% | 2% | +1.5 | -4.1 | +6.1 | -3.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 3,000 | 87% | 1% | 11% | 2% | -4.1 | -4.1 | +10.7 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 81% | 0% | 18% | 1% | +16.5 | -13.0 | -6.6 | +3.1 |
| South 4 | Date Arisa tsumo 2,000 | 98% | 0% | 1% | 1% | +0.2 | +8.3 | +0.9 | -9.5 |