Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/27 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+82.6pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +25.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -2.1 | -1.6 | -5.3 | +9.0 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 23% | 25% | 21% | 32% | -1.4 | +5.5 | -2.7 | -1.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 6,400 from Hori Shingo | 22% | 29% | 20% | 30% | +1.5 | -19.1 | -2.2 | +19.8 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 21% | 15% | 17% | 47% | -1.9 | -1.2 | -1.3 | +4.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 21% | 13% | 14% | 52% | -3.2 | +3.2 | -4.8 | +4.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 17% | 14% | 13% | 56% | -29.2 | +2.6 | +1.0 | +25.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 8% | 7% | 81% | -4.4 | -7.1 | -5.8 | +17.3 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 3% | 2% | 94% | -4.7 | -3.6 | -4.6 | +12.9 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 1% | 1% | 98% | +15.6 | -1.9 | -5.6 | -8.1 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 97% | -8.8 | -0.4 | -0.3 | +9.4 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 0% | 0% | 99% | -5.9 | +23.0 | -3.7 | -13.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 3% | 1% | 97% | -3.6 | +13.8 | -4.8 | -5.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 8% | 1% | 92% | +1.1 | -6.7 | -0.7 | +6.4 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -3.8 | -1.0 | +5.8 | -1.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 1% | 1% | 99% | -5.4 | +2.0 | -0.5 | +3.9 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.6 | +0.7 | +4.1 | -1.2 |