Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/27 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+82.6pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +26.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 24% | 23% | 27% | 26% | -1.0 | +0.7 | -7.4 | +7.7 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 23% | 24% | 22% | 31% | -0.4 | +5.9 | -5.8 | +0.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 6,400 from Shingo Hori | 22% | 28% | 19% | 31% | +0.6 | -19.2 | +0.1 | +18.5 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 20% | 15% | 17% | 48% | -0.4 | -1.2 | -2.6 | +4.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 13% | 15% | 51% | -5.4 | +5.1 | -2.9 | +3.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 16% | 16% | 13% | 55% | -27.7 | -0.6 | +2.0 | +26.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 8% | 7% | 81% | -6.9 | -5.1 | -7.3 | +19.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 95% | -4.2 | -2.5 | -5.3 | +11.9 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 1% | 1% | 98% | +15.1 | -2.2 | -4.2 | -8.7 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | -8.1 | -0.5 | -0.6 | +9.3 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | -4.2 | +22.0 | -4.7 | -13.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 3% | 1% | 96% | -4.0 | +13.5 | -5.0 | -4.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 7% | 1% | 92% | -0.1 | -6.6 | +1.0 | +5.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 1% | 99% | -2.6 | -1.6 | +4.3 | -0.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -5.8 | +2.5 | +0.2 | +3.1 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.8 | +0.8 | +4.2 | -1.2 |