Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/28 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+73.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +31.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 27% | 25% | 25% | -16.7 | -11.0 | +31.3 | -3.6 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 17% | 50% | 20% | -2.4 | -10.3 | +20.2 | -7.4 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 3,900 | 8% | 8% | 71% | 13% | -2.5 | -2.6 | +6.7 | -1.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 6% | 78% | 10% | -4.2 | +3.5 | +4.6 | -3.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 6% | 82% | 8% | -0.2 | +6.5 | -2.8 | -3.4 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Kana Nakada | 5% | 7% | 81% | 7% | +0.3 | +0.7 | +5.9 | -6.8 |
| South 1 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 6% | 88% | 3% | +26.8 | -9.8 | -7.5 | -9.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 3,900 from Kana Nakada | 11% | 6% | 81% | 3% | -2.6 | +8.7 | +4.0 | -10.1 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada | 5% | 6% | 88% | 1% | +1.7 | -3.1 | +12.2 | -10.8 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 0% | 98% | 1% | +0.6 | -1.2 | -1.0 | +1.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -15.5 | +22.2 | -0.6 | -6.1 |