Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/28 Game 2
Futoshi Watanabe finished 1st (+50.1pt). The game was decided in South 3: Futoshi Watanabe ron 8,000 from Hiroshi Daigo, which moved Futoshi Watanabe's expected points by +42.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -13.2 | -5.5 | -7.5 | +26.2 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,600 from Futoshi Watanabe | 15% | 20% | 20% | 46% | -8.7 | -2.6 | +0.9 | +10.4 |
| East 3 | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 6,000 | 11% | 15% | 18% | 56% | -4.3 | -3.5 | +14.7 | -6.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 14% | 28% | 49% | -1.0 | -3.2 | +7.0 | -2.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Hiroe Sugawara | 9% | 13% | 33% | 45% | -3.5 | +27.3 | -25.4 | +1.6 |
| East 4 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 29% | 16% | 47% | +21.5 | -4.5 | -6.0 | -11.0 |
| South 1 | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 2,000 | 19% | 29% | 15% | 37% | -6.2 | +0.8 | +3.5 | +1.9 |
| South 2 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 2,700 | 14% | 30% | 16% | 41% | +13.8 | -11.4 | -5.8 | +3.3 |
| South 3 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 8,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 22% | 19% | 14% | 45% | +42.4 | -33.0 | -3.7 | -5.7 |
| South 4 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000 | 74% | 1% | 2% | 23% | +8.6 | +46.4 | -19.9 | -35.1 |