Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
2/28 Game 2
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+50.1pt). The game was decided in South 3: Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Daigo Hiroshi, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +40.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 26% | -10.5 | -7.1 | -7.4 | +24.9 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Watanabe Futoshi | 17% | 19% | 19% | 45% | -9.0 | -0.8 | -1.0 | +10.8 |
| East 3 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 6,000 | 12% | 16% | 17% | 55% | -5.1 | -6.5 | +18.8 | -7.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 10% | 14% | 29% | 48% | -2.3 | -1.9 | +4.0 | +0.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 9% | 12% | 31% | 47% | -3.1 | +27.2 | -25.1 | +1.0 |
| East 4 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 29% | 15% | 49% | +21.9 | -5.0 | -5.8 | -11.1 |
| South 1 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 2,000 | 17% | 27% | 15% | 40% | -4.9 | -0.3 | +4.4 | +0.8 |
| South 2 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 2,700 | 14% | 27% | 18% | 41% | +13.4 | -9.1 | -6.9 | +2.6 |
| South 3 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 22% | 19% | 14% | 45% | +40.3 | -34.1 | -1.9 | -4.2 |
| South 4 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 12,000 | 71% | 1% | 3% | 26% | +10.2 | +47.1 | -21.2 | -36.1 |