Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

3/3 Game 1

Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+67.9pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hagiwara Masato tsumo 18,000, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +63.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Hagiwara Masato● Shibukawa Namba● Matsumoto Yoshihiro● Sasaki Hisato0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Hagiwara● Shibukawa● Matsumoto● Sasaki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultShibukawa Namba
1st-place chance
Hagiwara Masato
1st-place chance
Matsumoto Yoshihiro
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Shibukawa Namba
Expected pt change
Hagiwara Masato
Expected pt change
Matsumoto Yoshihiro
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
East 1Draw25%25%27%24%-4.8+2.5-5.3+7.7
East 2, 1 honbaShibukawa Namba tsumo 8,00021%26%23%30%+28.3-14.2-5.2-8.9
East 3Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,900 from Shibukawa Namba43%15%19%23%-8.5+1.6+8.3-1.4
East 3, 1 honbaShibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro36%17%24%23%+9.9-0.3-8.3-1.2
East 4Draw46%16%17%21%-1.4-0.8-5.2+7.4
East 4, 1 honbaMatsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 4,00043%18%14%25%-3.6-5.1+17.3-8.5
South 1Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba41%15%24%20%-6.9-3.3+7.8+2.4
South 2Hagiwara Masato tsumo 18,00033%12%32%23%-23.5+63.7-19.9-20.3
South 2, 1 honbaHagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba11%68%13%8%-33.2+24.2+3.0+6.0
South 2, 2 honbaSasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Shibukawa Namba0%91%4%4%-3.7+0.4+1.1+2.2
South 3Draw0%93%4%2%-3.7+4.4-0.3-0.3
South 4, 1 honbaDraw0%98%0%2%+1.2-1.4-3.6+3.8
South 4, 2 honbaSasaki Hisato tsumo 12,0000%97%0%2%-6.2-8.4-16.8+31.5
South 4, 3 honbaMatsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato0%88%0%12%-1.1+5.2+6.4-10.5

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)